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Murray State (20-12 in 2025–26) hosts Evansville (5-25 in 2025–26) on Jan 9, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
EVAN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · MUR defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
MUR offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · EVAN defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
EVANMUR
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
EVANMURNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
AJ Casey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller | 37.3 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| AJ Casey | 33.7 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Bryce Quinet | 30.8 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Joshua Hughes | 30.5 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Alex Hemenway | 29.9 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Trent Hundley | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 14.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 12.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Domon | 29.5 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| Javon Jackson | 28.1 | 16.1 | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| Fred King | 25.3 | 13.3 | 8.3 | 0.5 |
| Layne Taylor | 23.1 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| JJ Traynor | 22.5 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Mason Miller | 22.3 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 0.3 |
| KJ Tenner | 19.2 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Mathis Courbon | 13.1 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
EVAN offenseper gameMUR defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
EVANForAgainst46% of EVAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MURForAgainst49% of MUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
EVAN 1series8 MUR| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | EVAN 75 | MUR 88 | MUR+13 | +13 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | MUR 79 | EVAN 69 | MUR+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | EVAN 53 | MUR 74 | MUR+21 | +21 |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MUR 74 | EVAN 78 | EVAN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | EVAN 61 | MUR 63 | MUR+2 | +2 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | EVAN 70 | MUR 73 | MUR+3 | +3 |
| Jan 6, 2024 | MUR 81 | EVAN 59 | MUR+22 | +22 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | EVAN 58 | MUR 74 | MUR+16 | +16 |
| Jan 1, 2023 | MUR 78 | EVAN 61 | MUR+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | EVAN5-25 · last 30 games | MUR18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for | 65.8#342 of 361 | 82.5#25 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 97.8#344 of 361 | 116.0#59 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −16.5#343 of 361 | +7.4#116 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −18.6#350 of 361 | +2.5#128 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.