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New Haven (10-16 in 2025–26) hosts Wagner (10-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 8, 2027, 1:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
WAG offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · NHVN defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
NHVN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · WAG defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
WAGNHVN
Expected pace: about 64 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
WAGNHVNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jabri Fitzpatrick's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jones | 34.5 | 15.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Jaden Baker | 31.8 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| John Awoke | 26.9 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Travis Gray | 25.9 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 0.6 |
| Binael Basil | 24.5 | 8.6 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Eddie Placer | 24.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Bryan Akanmu | 22.9 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| Zavier Fitch | 17.5 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabri Fitzpatrick | 36.3 | 16.5 | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Najimi George | 35.3 | 11.9 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| Andre Pasha | 34.2 | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Stefano Faloppa | 25.3 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.5 |
| Kheni Briggs | 22.1 | 6.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Teshaun Steele | 17.7 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Maison Adeleye | 15.9 | 4.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Aidan Losiewicz | 8.2 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
WAG offenseper gameNHVN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
WAGForAgainst46% of WAG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NHVNForAgainst48% of NHVN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
WAG 1series1 NHVN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | NHVN 62 | WAG 65 | WAG+3 | +3 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WAG 74 | NHVN 80 | NHVN+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WAG12-18 · last 30 games | NHVN10-16 · last 26 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.7%#334 of 361 | 48.5%#52 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.4%#217 of 361 | 47.6%#99 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.2#268 of 361 | 96.2#351 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.2#182 of 361 | 106.7#264 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.