Purdue vs Michigan Odds, Stats & Props — Jan 8

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to know

Scoring margin

PUR +11.5 · MICH +17.6

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

PUR 7-3 · MICH 9-1

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

PUR 2d · MICH 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

PUR offensevsMICH defense

PUR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MICH defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

57.6%

#11

44.7%

slight#2

Turnovers · per 100 plays

11.6%

#9Stronger

13.6%

#250

Offensive rebounding %

36.3%

#23slight

27.7%

#60

Free throw rate

21.3%

#310

19.7%

Stronger#24

MICH offensevsPUR defense

MICH offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PUR defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

58.1%

#9Stronger

52.3%

#227

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.6%

#181slight

13.9%

#228

Offensive rebounding %

35.4%

#42

26.4%

slight#24

Free throw rate

28.2%

#92

18.7%

Stronger#15

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

PURMICH

+17.7 14thNet rating3rd +24.8

125.7 2ndOffensive rating10th 122.4

108.0 132ndDefensive rating8th 97.6

64.9 321stPace44th 70.9

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

PUR turnovers
PUR offense 11.6% (9th) vs MICH defense allowing 13.6% (250th)
+241 spots
MICH 2-point shooting
MICH offense 61.0% (5th) vs PUR defense allowing 53.1% (237th)
+232 spots
MICH effective shooting
MICH offense 58.1% (9th) vs PUR defense allowing 52.3% (227th)
+218 spots
MICH 3-point shooting
MICH offense 36.0% (57th) vs PUR defense allowing 34.2% (196th)
+139 spots
PUR offensive rebounding
PUR offense 36.3% (23rd) vs MICH defense allowing 27.7% (60th)
+37 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

PUR

USC

RUTG

ILL

MICH

2 days rest

MICH

TOL

WASH

NEB

PUR

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

PUR · last 10

27-8 · 285 days rest

Mar 28 @ ARIZ2025–26L 64–79
Mar 26 vs TEX2025–26W 79–77
Mar 22 vs MIA2025–26W 79–69
Mar 15 @ MICH2025–26W 80–72
Mar 14 @ UCLA2025–26W 73–66
Mar 13 @ NEB2025–26W 74–58
Mar 12 vs NU2025–26W 81–68
Mar 7 vs WIS2025–26L 93–97
Mar 4 @ NU2025–26W 70–66
Mar 1 @ OSU2025–26L 74–82

7-3 in these

MICH · last 10

31-3 · 276 days rest

Apr 6 vs CONN2025–26W 69–63
Apr 4 @ ARIZ2025–26W 91–73
Mar 29 vs TENN2025–26W 95–62
Mar 27 vs ALA2025–26W 90–77
Mar 21 vs SLU2025–26W 95–72
Mar 19 vs HOW2025–26W 101–80
Mar 15 vs PUR2025–26L 72–80
Mar 14 vs WIS2025–26W 68–65
Mar 13 vs OSU2025–26W 71–67
Mar 8 vs MSU2025–26W 90–80

9-1 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Purdue Boilermakers

Michigan Wolverines

Fletcher Loyer

PUR vs MICH

Player page →

Points No line yet

PUR at MICH

Full breakdown

Fletcher Loyer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

PUR rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Braden Smith	35.8	12.5	3.5	8.8
Fletcher Loyer	31.2	15.4	2.5	2.6
Trey Kaufman-Renn	29.4	15.0	8.4	2.5
C.J. Cox	24.5	7.9	2.8	1.3
Oscar Cluff	24.4	9.1	6.9	1.5
Jack Benter	15.3	4.2	2.3	0.8
Gicarri Harris	14.7	4.5	1.3	0.5
Omer Mayer	13.8	5.7	0.9	0.9

MICH rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Yaxel Lendeborg	33.9	14.8	6.7	3.3
Elliot Cadeau	28.9	10.1	2.3	6.1
Morez Johnson Jr.	27.2	12.4	7.6	1.1
Aday Mara	23.4	12.5	6.7	2.3
Trey McKenney	23.1	9.1	2.5	0.9
Nimari Burnett	19.1	7.8	2.3	0.9
Roddy Gayle Jr.	18.9	4.4	2.9	0.8
L.J. Cason	18.1	9.9	1.4	2.7

Team rankings (2025–26)History

PUR offenseper gameMICH defense

Effective FG%

11th57.6%

44.7%2nd

Turnover %

9th11.6%

13.6%250th

Offensive rebound %

23rd36.3%

27.7%60th

Free throw rate

310th21.3%

19.7%24th

Points

38th81.7

69.250th

Field goal %

11th49.9%

38.4%2nd

2-point %

19th58.1%

44.3%5th

3-point %

17th37.9%

30.2%10th

Free throw %

111th74.3%

75.1%313th

Rebounds

136th35.4

31.221st

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

PURForAgainst

1st half

38.5

33.3

2nd half

39.9

38.8

Game

78.4

72.1

49% of PUR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

MICHForAgainst

1st half

39.8

35.4

2nd half

42.6

35.4

Game

82.4

70.8

48% of MICH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

PUR 6series4 MICH

Last 10PMMMPPPPMP

Avg total

154.9

combined points

Avg margin

PUR 3.1

per meeting

Biggest win

PUR +32

Jan 23, 2024

Last meeting

PUR won

Mar 15, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026PUR 1-1 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 15, 2026	PUR 80	MICH 72	PUR+8	+8
Feb 17, 2026	MICH 91	PUR 80	MICH+11	+11

2025PUR 1-2 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 14, 2025	PUR 68	MICH 86	MICH+18	+18
Feb 11, 2025	PUR 73	MICH 75	MICH+2	+2
Jan 24, 2025	MICH 64	PUR 91	PUR+27	+27

2024PUR 2-0 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 25, 2024	PUR 84	MICH 76	PUR+8	+8
Jan 23, 2024	MICH 67	PUR 99	PUR+32	+32

2023PUR 1-0 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 26, 2023	PUR 75	MICH 70	PUR+5	+5

2022PUR 1-1 MICH

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 10, 2022	PUR 58	MICH 82	MICH+24	+24
Feb 5, 2022	MICH 76	PUR 82	PUR+6	+6

Measure	PUR22-8 · last 30 games	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	64.5#333 of 361	70.1#73 of 361	68.0
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	46.5%#216 of 361	48.2%#69 of 361	46.9%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	108.3#234 of 361	98.4#354 of 361	109.9
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	76.8#81 of 361	91.2#7 of 361	74.3

Measure	PUR22-8 · last 30 games	MICH27-3 · last 30 games	League
Possessions per game	64.5#333 of 361	70.1#73 of 361	68.0
Share of points allowed in the 1st half	46.5%#216 of 361	48.2%#69 of 361	46.9%
Points allowed per 100 possessions	108.3#234 of 361	98.4#354 of 361	109.9
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	76.8#81 of 361	91.2#7 of 361	74.3

Purdue vs Michigan — College Basketball, Jan 8, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory