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Cal State Bakersfield (6-24 in 2025–26) hosts UC Riverside (8-22 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027, 9:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CSUB defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
CSUB offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UCR defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCRCSUB
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCRCSUBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Marqui Worthy Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqui Worthy Jr. | 36.4 | 19.7 | 5.3 | 3.2 |
| Andrew Henderson | 34.5 | 19.5 | 5.4 | 2.3 |
| De'Undrae Perteete Jr. | 27.5 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Osiris Grady | 27.4 | 7.1 | 5.1 | 1.6 |
| BJ Kolly | 25.9 | 9.9 | 6.3 | 1.1 |
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton | 25.6 | 6.1 | 4.8 | 1.1 |
| Ben Waller | 20.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Tyler Jones | 14.5 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailin Smith | 30.9 | 17.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 |
| CJ Hardy | 28.8 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 27.2 | 15.1 | 7.0 | 1.4 |
| AJ George | 26.5 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Kadar Waller | 26.1 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Jaden Alexander | 25.3 | 17.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 |
| Tom Mark | 25.3 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 0.9 |
| Mike Price | 20.2 | 8.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
UCR offenseper gameCSUB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCRForAgainst47% of UCR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CSUBForAgainst45% of CSUB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCR 7series3 CSUB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | CSUB 65 | UCR 93 | UCR+28 | +28 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UCR 66 | CSUB 67 | CSUB+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | CSUB 64 | UCR 69 | UCR+5 | +5 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UCR 83 | CSUB 79 | UCR+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | CSUB 78 | UCR 83 | UCR+5 | +5 |
| Feb 8, 2024 | CSUB 63 | UCR 65 | UCR+2 | +2 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UCR 56 | CSUB 80 | CSUB+24 | +24 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | UCR 76 | CSUB 82 | CSUB+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | CSUB 59 | UCR 71 | UCR+12 | +12 |
| Feb 17, 2022 | CSUB 69 | UCR 79 | UCR+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCR8-22 · last 30 games | CSUB6-24 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.8%#86 of 361 | 44.7%#336 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.6#120 of 361 | 116.2#38 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 2nd half points against | 41.6#93 of 361 | 43.2#31 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Possessions per game | 70.3#63 of 361 | 71.8#20 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.