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St. Thomas (21-9 in 2025–26) hosts North Dakota State (24-7 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027, 8:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NDSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · STMN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
STMN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NDSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NDSUSTMN
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nolan Minessale's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz | 33.1 | 10.1 | 3.0 | 5.7 |
| Trevian Carson | 31.4 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 3.2 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas | 30.1 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Markhi Strickland | 24.5 | 9.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Tay Smith | 24.1 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 0.6 |
| Noah Feddersen | 21.5 | 11.9 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Treyson Anderson | 18.1 | 10.8 | 5.0 | 0.7 |
| Emil Skytta | 13.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Janowski | 32.9 | 17.2 | 4.8 | 2.2 |
| Nolan Minessale | 31.9 | 19.3 | 4.8 | 4.1 |
| Carter Bjerke | 26.0 | 9.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Austin Herro | 25.5 | 5.5 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Ben Oosterbaan | 24.9 | 8.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | 21.2 | 9.4 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Ryan Dufault | 18.5 | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Hayden Tibbits | 13.4 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
NDSU offenseper gameSTMN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NDSUForAgainst48% of NDSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
STMNForAgainst48% of STMN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NDSU 4series6 STMN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | NDSU 62 | STMN 84 | STMN+22 | +22 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | STMN 65 | NDSU 68 | NDSU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | NDSU 62 | STMN 79 | STMN+17 | +17 |
| Jan 2, 2025 | STMN 89 | NDSU 85 | STMN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | NDSU 58 | STMN 68 | STMN+10 | +10 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | STMN 50 | NDSU 64 | NDSU+14 | +14 |
| Jan 25, 2024 | NDSU 66 | STMN 79 | STMN+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | STMN 64 | NDSU 73 | NDSU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | NDSU 68 | STMN 78 | STMN+10 | +10 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | NDSU 75 | STMN 64 | NDSU+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NDSU24-6 · last 30 games | STMN21-9 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 38.3#266 of 361 | 39.8#177 of 361 | 39.7 |
| 2nd half points for | 41.0#105 of 361 | 42.3#58 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 103.4#315 of 361 | 106.2#276 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.