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Chattanooga (10-19 in 2025–26) hosts UNC Greensboro (13-18 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027, 7:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UNCG offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UTC defense in 1
UTC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UNCG defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UNCGUTC
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UNCGUTCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Justin Neely's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely | 32.9 | 20.2 | 11.7 | 1.9 |
| KJ Younger | 29.5 | 17.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 28.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Noah Norgaard | 28.7 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Lilian Marville | 28.4 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. | 22.6 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clinton Efinda | 17.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Domas Kauzonas | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Darner | 32.1 | 10.9 | 4.8 | 2.1 |
| Jordan Frison | 31.4 | 18.1 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Brennan Watkins | 30.8 | 13.0 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Billy Smith | 21.1 | 7.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. | 19.5 | 8.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| Collin Mulholland | 17.3 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Houston Holland | 12.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Makai Richards | 12.7 | 2.8 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
UNCG offenseper gameUTC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UNCGForAgainst46% of UNCG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UTCForAgainst46% of UTC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UNCG 7series3 UTC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | UNCG 85 | UTC 80 | UNCG+5 | +5 |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UTC 72 | UNCG 77 | UNCG+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | UTC 75 | UNCG 63 | UTC+12 | +12 |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNCG 78 | UTC 75 | UNCG+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTC 89 | UNCG 61 | UTC+28 | +28 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNCG 70 | UTC 54 | UNCG+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | UNCG 93 | UTC 76 | UNCG+17 | +17 |
| Jan 4, 2023 | UTC 61 | UNCG 73 | UNCG+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2022 | UNCG 73 | UTC 70 | UNCG+3 | +3 |
| Jan 20, 2022 | UTC 72 | UNCG 64 | UTC+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UNCG13-17 · last 30 games | UTC10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.1#110 of 361 | 72.8#261 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.3%#304 of 361 | 46.8%#180 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Possessions per game | 68.3#166 of 361 | 66.9#236 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.