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⌘K
Kansas City (1-26 in 2025–26) hosts South Dakota State (11-18 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SDST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · KC defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
KC offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · SDST defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SDSTKC
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SDSTKCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Joe Sayler's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Sayler | 35.2 | 17.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Jaden Jackson | 32.7 | 11.1 | 4.0 | 2.9 |
| Matthew Mors | 30.5 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Kalen Garry | 29.9 | 10.3 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Damon Wilkinson | 26.3 | 15.1 | 5.9 | 1.3 |
| Bubz Alvarez | 17.3 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Luke Haertle | 16.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 1.7 |
| Alec Squires | 13.5 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karmello Branch | 31.0 | 11.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 |
| Jayson Petty | 30.7 | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| CJ Evans | 30.4 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
| Kasheem Grady II | 26.2 | 10.6 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Chris Dockery | 24.8 | 8.4 | 5.5 | 1.1 |
| Jerome Palm | 23.0 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 1.0 |
| Addarin Scott | 13.6 | 3.9 | 2.6 | 0.5 |
| Jamaria Clark | 13.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
SDST offenseper gameKC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SDSTForAgainst47% of SDST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
KCForAgainst46% of KC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SDST 9series1 KC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDST 73 | KC 59 | SDST+14 | +14 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | KC 62 | SDST 90 | SDST+28 | +28 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | KC 65 | SDST 70 | SDST+5 | +5 |
| Jan 23, 2025 | SDST 65 | KC 64 | SDST+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | SDST 67 | KC 72 | KC+5 | +5 |
| Jan 25, 2024 | KC 66 | SDST 75 | SDST+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | KC 50 | SDST 73 | SDST+23 | +23 |
| Jan 30, 2023 | SDST 67 | KC 66 | SDST+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | SDST 86 | KC 75 | SDST+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2021 | KC 57 | SDST 89 | SDST+32 | +32 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SDST11-19 · last 30 games | KC2-28 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.9#216 of 361 | 83.1#8 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −3.7#155 of 361 | −14.8#359 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 109.6#167 of 361 | 95.1#355 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −1.0#189 of 361 | −22.9#357 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.