UT Martin (16-10 in 2025–26) hosts Southeast Missouri State (13-12 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SEMO offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · UTM defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
UTM offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SEMO defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Luke Almodovar's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward | 31.4 | 11.3 | 2.1 | 3.6 |
| Braxton Stacker | 29.3 | 11.6 | 4.2 | 1.1 |
| Brendan Terry | 28.1 | 11.4 | 5.9 | 2.3 |
| Luke Almodovar | 27.3 | 13.3 | 4.1 | 0.6 |
| Marqueas Bell | 21.1 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| Landren Blocker | 18.8 | 4.8 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 14.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Blaize Sagna | 9.3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija Bukumirovic | 29.7 | 12.7 | 7.7 | 1.3 |
| Matas Deniusas | 27.7 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| Filip Radakovic | 27.6 | 7.8 | 4.1 | 2.5 |
| Filip Petkovski | 25.3 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Afan Trnka | 21.8 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| Pedro Santos | 21.7 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Damien King | 18.2 | 5.2 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| Vladimir Khryapa | 14.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.7 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
49% of SEMO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
44% of UTM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | SEMO+3 | +3 | ||
| Jan 20, 2026 | SEMO+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | SEMO+11 | +11 | ||
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTM+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | UTM+10 | +10 | ||
| Jan 25, 2024 | UTM+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | UTM+20 | +20 | ||
| Jan 5, 2023 | UTM+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | SEMO+7 | +7 | ||
| Feb 3, 2022 | UTM+21 | +21 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SEMO16-14 · last 30 games | UTM17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.1%#66 of 361 | 44.5%#343 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 69.1#116 of 361 | 64.9#318 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 46.8%#185 of 361 | 49.8%#8 of 361 | 46.9% |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.