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New Hampshire (7-21 in 2025–26) hosts UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UMBC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UNH defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UNH offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UMBC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UMBCUNH
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UMBCUNHNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ace Valentine's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belal El Shakery | 30.0 | 12.9 | 9.3 | 1.6 |
| John Squire | 29.3 | 7.3 | 6.2 | 1.7 |
| Tyler Bike | 29.2 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Davide Poser | 29.1 | 7.9 | 2.7 | 2.1 |
| Jack Graham | 27.3 | 10.8 | 3.3 | 1.0 |
| KiJan Robinson | 25.6 | 9.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Comeh Emuobor | 18.6 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 0.5 |
| R.J. Kennedy | 17.8 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
UMBC offenseper gameUNH defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNHForAgainst45% of UNH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UMBC 5series5 UNH| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNH 69 | UMBC 84 | UMBC+15 | +15 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UMBC 85 | UNH 63 | UMBC+22 | +22 |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UNH 74 | UMBC 75 | UMBC+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2025 | UMBC 78 | UNH 79 | UNH+1 | +1 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | UNH 79 | UMBC 76 | UNH+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | UMBC 86 | UNH 68 | UMBC+18 | +18 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UNH 64 | UMBC 58 | UNH+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | UMBC 66 | UNH 75 | UNH+9 | +9 |
| Jan 21, 2023 | UNH 69 | UMBC 80 | UMBC+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2022 | UMBC 62 | UNH 68 | UNH+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | UNH7-23 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | +11.2#40 of 361 | −15.3#341 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | +7.5#45 of 361 | −10.4#341 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 113.6#90 of 361 | 96.6#350 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 2nd half points against | 36.3#327 of 361 | 41.3#105 of 361 | 39.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.