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Idaho State (10-20 in 2025–26) hosts Montana State (15-14 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MTST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · IDST defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
IDST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · MTST defense in 2
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MTSTIDST
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MTSTIDSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jed Miller's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller | 36.9 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 3.5 |
| Christian King | 30.3 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 29.7 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Davian Brown | 27.5 | 16.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Jeremiah Davis | 26.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Seth Amunrud | 22.7 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Chris Hodges | 21.5 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| Jaden Steppe | 18.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Kheil | 29.4 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 28.8 | 13.1 | 4.7 | 1.4 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 28.4 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| Jamison Guerra | 22.9 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Louis Bond | 18.1 | 6.0 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| Caleb Van De Griend | 16.5 | 9.8 | 5.8 | 0.5 |
| Gus Etchison | 16.1 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 2.9 |
| Evan Otten | 14.3 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
MTST offenseper gameIDST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MTSTForAgainst46% of MTST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
IDSTForAgainst49% of IDST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MTST 8series2 IDST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | MTST 76 | IDST 91 | IDST+15 | +15 |
| Jan 22, 2026 | IDST 62 | MTST 74 | MTST+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | MTST 80 | IDST 60 | MTST+20 | +20 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | IDST 69 | MTST 74 | MTST+5 | +5 |
| Jan 16, 2025 | MTST 67 | IDST 70 | IDST+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2024 | IDST 70 | MTST 77 | MTST+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2023 | MTST 74 | IDST 66 | MTST+8 | +8 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | MTST 58 | IDST 52 | MTST+6 | +6 |
| Jan 12, 2023 | IDST 68 | MTST 81 | MTST+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2022 | MTST 72 | IDST 54 | MTST+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MTST15-15 · last 30 games | IDST10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.1#235 of 361 | 79.7#29 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 109.4#205 of 361 | 116.5#33 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −1.7#105 of 361 | −0.4#275 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +1.7#139 of 361 | −5.9#256 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.