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UC Santa Barbara (16-14 in 2025–26) hosts Cal State Fullerton (16-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 7, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CSUF offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UCSB defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UCSB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CSUF defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CSUFUCSB
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CSUFUCSBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Aidan Mahaney's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Ward | 30.1 | 14.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro | 28.0 | 10.6 | 5.4 | 2.4 |
| Christian Williams | 24.4 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Bryce Cofield | 20.5 | 6.9 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| Bailey Nunn | 20.4 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Landon Seaman | 20.0 | 10.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Kendrick De Luna | 18.3 | 5.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| KJ Garris | 16.0 | 8.4 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Mahaney | 35.3 | 15.7 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| CJ Shaw | 32.6 | 13.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Colin Smith | 31.7 | 12.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| Miro Little | 30.7 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| Zion Sensley | 26.4 | 11.5 | 7.9 | 0.7 |
| Hosana Kitenge | 22.0 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 |
| Marvin McGhee IV | 21.8 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Evans Kipruto | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
CSUF offenseper gameUCSB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CSUFForAgainst44% of CSUF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UCSBForAgainst48% of UCSB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CSUF 5series5 UCSB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | CSUF 69 | UCSB 83 | UCSB+14 | +14 |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCSB 84 | CSUF 95 | CSUF+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2025 | CSUF 56 | UCSB 86 | UCSB+30 | +30 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UCSB 83 | CSUF 75 | UCSB+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | UCSB 70 | CSUF 79 | CSUF+9 | +9 |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CSUF 73 | UCSB 69 | CSUF+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | CSUF 62 | UCSB 72 | UCSB+10 | +10 |
| Feb 20, 2023 | CSUF 74 | UCSB 60 | CSUF+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2022 | UCSB 66 | CSUF 58 | UCSB+8 | +8 |
| Feb 17, 2022 | CSUF 67 | UCSB 58 | CSUF+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CSUF16-14 · last 30 games | UCSB16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points against | 38.5#37 of 361 | 32.8#282 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Possessions per game | 74.3#4 of 361 | 67.4#217 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 43.9%#351 of 361 | 46.7%#187 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.6#188 of 361 | 113.7#88 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.