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Troy (19-11 in 2025–26) hosts Georgia State (8-22 in 2025–26) on Jan 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
GAST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · TROY defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
TROY offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · GAST defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
GASTTROY
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
GASTTROYNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jelani Hamilton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jelani Hamilton | 34.4 | 18.1 | 5.3 | 2.7 |
| Micah Tucker | 33.6 | 15.1 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Malachi Brown | 33.1 | 15.6 | 4.8 | 2.9 |
| Joah Chappelle | 24.1 | 6.8 | 4.4 | 0.5 |
| Anthony Enoh | 21.3 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Trey Scott III | 19.8 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 0.8 |
| Christian Beam | 16.2 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 0.3 |
| Jakai Newton | 14.3 | 6.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd | 37.4 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 2.4 |
| Cooper Campbell | 34.3 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Victor Valdes | 29.3 | 13.6 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Cobi Campbell | 27.9 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 1.7 |
| Theo Seng | 26.7 | 12.2 | 6.4 | 0.6 |
| Jerrell Bellamy | 22.2 | 11.4 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| Austin Cross | 16.5 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| Kerrington Kiel | 15.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
GAST offenseper gameTROY defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
GASTForAgainst46% of GAST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
TROYForAgainst46% of TROY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
GAST 2series5 TROY| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | TROY 74 | GAST 63 | TROY+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | GAST 57 | TROY 77 | TROY+20 | +20 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TROY 78 | GAST 74 | TROY+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2023 | TROY 65 | GAST 53 | TROY+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2022 | TROY 67 | GAST 63 | TROY+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | TROY 53 | GAST 65 | GAST+12 | +12 |
| Feb 19, 2021 | TROY 66 | GAST 80 | GAST+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | GAST8-22 · last 30 games | TROY19-11 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 36.0#319 of 361 | 43.2#37 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 100.2#333 of 361 | 113.6#91 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.5%#126 of 361 | 42.8%#361 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −10.2#307 of 361 | +5.2#90 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.