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NC State (20-13 in 2025–26) hosts Pittsburgh (13-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PITT offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
NCSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PITT defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PITTNCSU
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PITTNCSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ven-Allen Lubin's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. | 36.5 | 13.0 | 6.9 | 1.1 |
| Cameron Corhen | 33.7 | 14.7 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Damarco Minor | 32.1 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| Omari Witherspoon | 30.3 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Roman Siulepa | 30.3 | 11.1 | 6.9 | 1.2 |
| Brandin Cummings | 25.3 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 25.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Macari Moore | 7.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 31.4 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 30.6 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Williams | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 30.0 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 26.7 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Matt Able | 23.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Musa Sagnia | 9.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
PITT offenseper gameNCSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PITTForAgainst44% of PITT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NCSUForAgainst46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PITT 4series5 NCSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | PITT 88 | NCSU 98 | NCSU+10 | +10 |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NCSU 81 | PITT 72 | NCSU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | PITT 63 | NCSU 71 | NCSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | NCSU 73 | PITT 81 | PITT+8 | +8 |
| Feb 7, 2024 | PITT 67 | NCSU 64 | PITT+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2022 | PITT 68 | NCSU 60 | PITT+8 | +8 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | NCSU 69 | PITT 71 | PITT+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | PITT 62 | NCSU 65 | NCSU+3 | +3 |
| Feb 17, 2021 | NCSU 74 | PITT 73 | NCSU+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PITT10-20 · last 30 games | NCSU17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 37.2#284 of 361 | 43.7#28 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Possessions per game | 64.1#344 of 361 | 69.2#104 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points against | 38.3#264 of 361 | 42.6#48 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −4.6#238 of 361 | +5.7#84 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.