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Minnesota (15-17 in 2025–26) hosts Penn State (12-20 in 2025–26) on Jan 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MINN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
MINN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · PSU defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PSUMINN
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PSUMINNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cade Tyson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo | 34.1 | 12.4 | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Josh Reed | 32.6 | 14.4 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
| Ivan Juric | 28.2 | 11.5 | 6.4 | 1.2 |
| Freddie Dilione V | 28.1 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Dominick Stewart | 25.5 | 6.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Eli Rice | 20.3 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 |
| Melih Tunca | 19.2 | 5.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Mason Blackwood | 13.1 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin | 38.3 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 37.1 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Isaac Asuma | 37.1 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Langston Reynolds | 36.3 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 35.0 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 2.3 |
| Grayson Grove | 26.3 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| Kai Shinholster | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Maximus Gizzi | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
PSU offenseper gameMINN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PSUForAgainst42% of PSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MINNForAgainst48% of MINN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PSU 6series4 MINN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | MINN 75 | PSU 77 | PSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | PSU 69 | MINN 60 | PSU+9 | +9 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | MINN 69 | PSU 61 | MINN+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | PSU 70 | MINN 75 | MINN+5 | +5 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | MINN 83 | PSU 74 | MINN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | PSU 76 | MINN 69 | PSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | MINN 51 | PSU 60 | PSU+9 | +9 |
| Feb 17, 2022 | MINN 46 | PSU 67 | PSU+21 | +21 |
| Feb 12, 2022 | PSU 70 | MINN 76 | MINN+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2021 | MINN 65 | PSU 84 | PSU+19 | +19 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PSU10-20 · last 30 games | MINN13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 89.4#4 of 361 | 64.0#340 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −18.3#348 of 361 | +7.5#115 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 120.9#8 of 361 | 110.8#162 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 67.0#233 of 361 | 62.7#360 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.