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Ohio State (21-12 in 2025–26) hosts Northwestern (15-19 in 2025–26) on Jan 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · OSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
OSU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · NU defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NUOSU
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NUOSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Martinelli's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37.1 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| Jake West | 31.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Tre Singleton | 26.4 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reid | 25.3 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Clayton | 18.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Max Green | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton | 36.2 | 19.7 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| John Mobley Jr. | 32.9 | 16.3 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Devin Royal | 32.8 | 12.6 | 5.2 | 1.4 |
| Amare Bynum | 31.4 | 10.5 | 4.7 | 1.0 |
| Christoph Tilly | 24.7 | 9.7 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| Taison Chatman | 20.3 | 6.7 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Ivan Njegovan | 12.7 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Puff Johnson | 11.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 |
NU offenseper gameOSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NUForAgainst47% of NU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
OSUForAgainst48% of OSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NU 4series4 OSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OSU 86 | NU 82 | OSU+4 | +4 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | NU 70 | OSU 49 | NU+21 | +21 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | OSU 58 | NU 83 | NU+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | NU 69 | OSU 63 | NU+6 | +6 |
| Jan 1, 2023 | OSU 73 | NU 57 | OSU+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2022 | NU 87 | OSU 95 | OSU+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2021 | NU 71 | OSU 81 | OSU+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2020 | OSU 70 | NU 71 | NU+1 | +1 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NU11-19 · last 30 games | OSU18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 65.3#314 of 361 | 83.4#60 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −8.7#259 of 361 | +10.9#69 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −2.9#219 of 361 | +8.4#59 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 110.9#139 of 361 | 118.5#34 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.