Texas Tech (21-10 in 2025–26) hosts Baylor (15-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 6, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
BAY offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · TTU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
TTU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · BAY defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
JT Toppin's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Carr | 35.5 | 17.6 | 6.0 | 3.2 |
| Tounde Yessoufou | 34.8 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| Obi Agbim | 34.0 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Isaac Williams IV | 27.8 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Caden Powell | 25.3 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Michael Rataj | 19.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| James Nnaji | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson | 38.4 | 17.9 | 3.8 | 7.8 |
| Donovan Atwell | 37.3 | 15.5 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| JT Toppin | 36.4 | 22.9 | 10.3 | 2.0 |
| Jaylen Petty | 31.7 | 9.7 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
| LeJuan Watts | 26.5 | 10.0 | 5.6 | 2.0 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 16.9 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| Tyeree Bryan | 14.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| Josiah Moseley | 12.8 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 0.5 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
50% of BAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
52% of TTU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | TTU+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | TTU+2 | +2 | ||
| Feb 4, 2025 | TTU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | TTU+10 | +10 | ||
| Feb 6, 2024 | BAY+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | BAY+27 | +27 | ||
| Jan 17, 2023 | BAY+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | TTU+10 | +10 | ||
| Jan 11, 2022 | TTU+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | BAY+15 | +15 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | BAY14-16 · last 30 games | TTU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 41.1#113 of 361 | 37.1#301 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 70.4#228 of 361 | 83.9#53 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 113.0#109 of 361 | 108.4#229 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 68.6#144 of 361 | 67.2#224 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.