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Arizona (32-2 in 2025–26) hosts UCF (21-11 in 2025–26) on Jan 6, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UCF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ARIZ defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
ARIZ offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · UCF defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UCFARIZ
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UCFARIZNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Brayden Burries's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks | 33.9 | 14.2 | 2.7 | 5.9 |
| Jordan Burks | 32.1 | 13.6 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Jamichael Stillwell | 30.2 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 2.9 |
| Riley Kugel | 29.3 | 14.2 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| John Bol | 22.6 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 0.3 |
| Chris Johnson | 18.5 | 6.9 | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Devan Cambridge | 16.1 | 4.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 14.0 | 4.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley | 33.1 | 12.7 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| Brayden Burries | 31.3 | 18.2 | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov | 30.5 | 10.9 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Koa Peat | 27.3 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| Motiejus Krivas | 25.9 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 0.9 |
| Tobe Awaka | 22.3 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 0.6 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso | 21.3 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Dwayne Aristode | 12.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
UCF offenseper gameARIZ defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UCFForAgainst46% of UCF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
ARIZForAgainst48% of ARIZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UCF 0series3 ARIZ| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | UCF 59 | ARIZ 81 | ARIZ+22 | +22 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ARIZ 84 | UCF 77 | ARIZ+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | UCF 80 | ARIZ 88 | ARIZ+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UCF20-10 · last 30 games | ARIZ28-2 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 81.0#83 of 361 | 65.3#324 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −5.5#193 of 361 | +24.5#2 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.3#176 of 361 | 97.7#357 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +4.2#108 of 361 | +24.5#4 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.