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Vanderbilt (26-8 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi State (13-19 in 2025–26) on Jan 5, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSST offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · VAN defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
VAN offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MSST defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSSTVAN
Expected pace: about 71 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSSTVANNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Tyler Tanner's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 34.3 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Jayden Epps | 26.7 | 11.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 24.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 22.8 | 4.3 | 5.7 | 0.7 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 20.7 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Achor Achor | 18.5 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
| Sergej Macura | 18.3 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 0.5 |
| Quincy Ballard | 18.1 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner | 36.7 | 21.7 | 3.7 | 5.0 |
| Tyler Nickel | 31.2 | 11.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| Duke Miles | 30.2 | 16.4 | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| AK Okereke | 26.5 | 11.4 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Devin McGlockton | 26.3 | 8.9 | 6.5 | 1.3 |
| Chandler Bing | 23.7 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Jalen Washington | 22.2 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 0.7 |
| Mike James | 15.1 | 1.9 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
MSST offenseper gameVAN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSSTForAgainst48% of MSST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VANForAgainst46% of VAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSST 4series3 VAN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | VAN 88 | MSST 56 | VAN+32 | +32 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2025 | MSST 76 | VAN 64 | MSST+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | VAN 55 | MSST 68 | MSST+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | MSST 72 | VAN 77 | VAN+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | VAN 69 | MSST 74 | MSST+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | VAN 72 | MSST 51 | VAN+21 | +21 |
| Jan 9, 2021 | MSST 84 | VAN 81 | MSST+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSST12-18 · last 30 games | VAN22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | −4.7#272 of 361 | +8.8#27 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −6.6#266 of 361 | +12.6#31 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 108.1#208 of 361 | 120.3#22 of 361 | 109.2 |
| 1st half points against | 38.4#40 of 361 | 34.8#187 of 361 | 35.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.