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Kansas State (12-20 in 2025–26) hosts Houston (28-6 in 2025–26) on Jan 5, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
HOU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · KSU defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
KSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · HOU defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
HOUKSU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
HOUKSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
P.J. Haggerty's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan | 32.9 | 10.9 | 2.6 | 4.1 |
| Kingston Flemings | 32.6 | 15.5 | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Emanuel Sharp | 29.7 | 14.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | 25.7 | 9.8 | 7.3 | 0.7 |
| Joseph Tugler | 23.3 | 8.5 | 4.6 | 1.2 |
| Mercy Miller | 14.2 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 14.0 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 0.1 |
| Chase McCarty | 13.3 | 4.8 | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty | 38.0 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 2.9 |
| Nate Johnson | 35.4 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| David Castillo | 33.3 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Taj Manning | 28.8 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 1.3 |
| Khamari McGriff | 20.2 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
| C.J. Jones | 19.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Andrej Kostic | 17.6 | 7.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Dorin Buca | 14.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
HOU offenseper gameKSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
HOUForAgainst49% of HOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
KSUForAgainst47% of KSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
HOU 3series0 KSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | KSU 64 | HOU 78 | HOU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | HOU 87 | KSU 57 | HOU+30 | +30 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | KSU 52 | HOU 74 | HOU+22 | +22 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | HOU24-6 · last 30 games | KSU10-20 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 63.8#359 of 361 | 82.8#13 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Possessions per game | 64.4#337 of 361 | 73.0#10 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +5.6#24 of 361 | −1.2#293 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 99.1#353 of 361 | 113.4#95 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.