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McNeese (26-5 in 2025–26) hosts Stephen F. Austin (26-5 in 2025–26) on Jan 4, 2027, 7:30 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
SFA offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MCN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MCN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · SFA defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
SFAMCN
Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
SFAMCNNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Keon Thompson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keon Thompson | 30.3 | 20.1 | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Chrishawn Christmas | 29.3 | 5.5 | 6.9 | 1.4 |
| Lateef Patrick | 27.2 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Jerald Colonel | 26.5 | 4.9 | 7.1 | 0.9 |
| Narit Chotikavanic | 21.9 | 7.5 | 2.7 | 1.0 |
| Kam Burton | 20.5 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 0.1 |
| Ahamed Mohammed | 16.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Gediminas Alisas | 13.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javohn Garcia | 31.2 | 11.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Larry Johnson | 29.5 | 18.7 | 5.8 | 1.7 |
| Tyshawn Archie | 28.6 | 13.9 | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Garwey Dual | 28.2 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| Jerrell Colbert | 22.7 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 0.7 |
| DJ Richards Jr. | 22.6 | 7.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Jacolb Fredson-Cole | 19.1 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| Carl Cherenfant | 14.4 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
SFA offenseper gameMCN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
SFAForAgainst48% of SFA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MCNForAgainst47% of MCN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
SFA 2series4 MCN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | MCN 76 | SFA 59 | MCN+17 | +17 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | MCN 60 | SFA 67 | SFA+7 | +7 |
| Jan 5, 2026 | SFA 64 | MCN 66 | MCN+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | MCN 95 | SFA 64 | MCN+31 | +31 |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SFA 59 | MCN 79 | MCN+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2020 | MCN 76 | SFA 86 | SFA+10 | +10 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | SFA25-5 · last 30 games | MCN26-4 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points for | 38.4#231 of 361 | 40.1#151 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Possessions per game | 65.2#311 of 361 | 66.4#263 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 2 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.