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Central Connecticut (14-12 in 2025–26) hosts Wagner (10-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 4, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
WAG offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · CCSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
CCSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · WAG defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
WAGCCSU
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
WAGCCSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Darin Smith Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Jones | 34.5 | 15.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
| Jaden Baker | 31.8 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 1.9 |
| John Awoke | 26.9 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| Travis Gray | 25.9 | 9.2 | 6.8 | 0.6 |
| Binael Basil | 24.5 | 8.6 | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| Eddie Placer | 24.0 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Bryan Akanmu | 22.9 | 6.3 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
| Zavier Fitch | 17.5 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Smith Jr. | 34.3 | 20.5 | 5.6 | 1.2 |
| Max Frazier | 30.9 | 12.1 | 7.9 | 0.9 |
| Jay Rodgers | 30.1 | 11.3 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| James Jones | 29.4 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Melo Sanchez | 26.8 | 9.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Daniel James | 15.7 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.4 |
| Elijah Parker | 14.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Roddy Jones | 11.1 | 3.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
WAG offenseper gameCCSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
WAGForAgainst46% of WAG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
CCSUForAgainst47% of CCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
WAG 4series6 CCSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | WAG 70 | CCSU 60 | WAG+10 | +10 |
| Feb 7, 2026 | WAG 67 | CCSU 84 | CCSU+17 | +17 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | CCSU 62 | WAG 55 | CCSU+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | CCSU 55 | WAG 48 | CCSU+7 | +7 |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WAG 62 | CCSU 57 | WAG+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | WAG 66 | CCSU 56 | WAG+10 | +10 |
| Feb 22, 2024 | CCSU 73 | WAG 72 | CCSU+1 | +1 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WAG 68 | CCSU 69 | CCSU+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2023 | WAG 57 | CCSU 58 | CCSU+1 | +1 |
| Jan 20, 2023 | CCSU 50 | WAG 72 | WAG+22 | +22 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WAG12-18 · last 30 games | CCSU18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 74.5#249 of 361 | 74.9#121 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.4%#217 of 361 | 47.3%#131 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −5.0#246 of 361 | −0.7#181 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 105.2#268 of 361 | 108.1#205 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.