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UNC Asheville (12-17 in 2025–26) hosts Winthrop (19-11 in 2025–26) on Jan 3, 2027, 2:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
WIN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · UNCA defense in 1
UNCA offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · WIN defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
WINUNCA
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
WINUNCANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Kameron Taylor's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Clouet | 33.9 | 16.9 | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| Kareem Rozier | 30.1 | 13.2 | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| Logan Duncomb | 25.6 | 20.1 | 9.6 | 2.4 |
| Daylen Berry | 23.7 | 9.0 | 3.6 | 0.9 |
| Isaiah Wilson | 22.5 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| Tommy Kamarad | 19.6 | 5.7 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Josh Meo | 18.4 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| Seifeldin Hendawy | 14.9 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 0.8 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toyaz Solomon | 36.6 | 17.1 | 8.0 | 2.5 |
| Kameron Taylor | 36.2 | 21.5 | 3.7 | 2.9 |
| Justin Wright | 35.5 | 17.1 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
| DJ Patrick | 34.0 | 8.8 | 3.9 | 0.5 |
| Daniel Thomas | 25.7 | 3.1 | 5.6 | 0.3 |
| Myles Mayfield | 21.0 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| Julian Clarke | 8.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Sage Tolentino | 8.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
WIN offenseper gameUNCA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
WINForAgainst48% of WIN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCAForAgainst46% of UNCA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
WIN 6series4 UNCA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCA 71 | WIN 84 | WIN+13 | +13 |
| Jan 17, 2026 | WIN 69 | UNCA 67 | WIN+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | WIN 86 | UNCA 67 | WIN+19 | +19 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UNCA 90 | WIN 103 | WIN+13 | +13 |
| Jan 18, 2025 | WIN 84 | UNCA 93 | UNCA+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | WIN 78 | UNCA 82 | UNCA+4 | +4 |
| Jan 18, 2024 | UNCA 82 | WIN 77 | UNCA+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2023 | WIN 79 | UNCA 86 | UNCA+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | UNCA 60 | WIN 62 | WIN+2 | +2 |
| Feb 19, 2022 | WIN 84 | UNCA 79 | WIN+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | WIN19-11 · last 30 games | UNCA12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 79.8#34 of 361 | 70.6#302 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | +0.3#75 of 361 | −1.6#302 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Possessions per game | 71.1#38 of 361 | 67.3#223 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 114.6#81 of 361 | 106.6#237 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.