Northwestern (15-19 in 2025–26) hosts Minnesota (15-17 in 2025–26) on Jan 3, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MINN offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · NU defense in 2
NU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MINN defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 64 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Martinelli's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Durkin | 38.3 | 12.6 | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Cade Tyson | 37.1 | 17.9 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Isaac Asuma | 37.1 | 11.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| Langston Reynolds | 36.3 | 12.5 | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 35.0 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 2.3 |
| Grayson Grove | 26.3 | 5.0 | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| Kai Shinholster | 11.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Maximus Gizzi | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37.1 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| Jake West | 31.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Tre Singleton | 26.4 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reid | 25.3 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Clayton | 18.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Max Green | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of MINN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
47% of NU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | MINN+1 | +1 | ||
| Jan 3, 2026 | MINN+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | NU+8 | +8 | ||
| Feb 25, 2025 | NU+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | NU+24 | +24 | ||
| Feb 3, 2024 | MINN+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | NU+20 | +20 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2022 | NU+13 | +13 | ||
| Feb 19, 2022 | MINN+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | MINN+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MINN13-17 · last 30 games | NU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 44.3%#346 of 361 | 48.6%#44 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 64.7#321 of 361 | 76.0#194 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.8#162 of 361 | 113.8#85 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.