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UNC Wilmington (24-6 in 2025–26) hosts Northeastern (7-24 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NE offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNCW defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
UNCW offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (4 by a clear margin) · NE defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NEUNCW
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NEUNCWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
William Kermoury's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Loughnane | 36.1 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
| William Kermoury | 32.6 | 16.3 | 4.5 | 2.7 |
| Xavier Abreu | 25.5 | 14.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| JB Frankel | 24.0 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| Youri Fritz | 23.6 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| Luca Soroa Schaller | 22.5 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Petar Pinter | 18.4 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 0.6 |
| Ryan Williams | 16.0 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Hodge | 33.5 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Greedy Williams | 32.4 | 10.7 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| Christian May | 30.1 | 11.2 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| Patrick Wessler | 30.0 | 15.3 | 10.4 | 1.3 |
| Noah Ross | 29.9 | 8.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 |
| Madison Durr | 19.5 | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe | 16.1 | 6.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi | 8.4 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 0.1 |
NE offenseper gameUNCW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NEForAgainst45% of NE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCWForAgainst47% of UNCW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NE 0series6 UNCW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | UNCW 87 | NE 78 | UNCW+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2025 | NE 72 | UNCW 80 | UNCW+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | UNCW 77 | NE 54 | UNCW+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | NE 59 | UNCW 71 | UNCW+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | NE 62 | UNCW 67 | UNCW+5 | +5 |
| Jan 24, 2022 | UNCW 74 | NE 68 | UNCW+6 | +6 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NE7-23 · last 30 games | UNCW24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 43.5#26 of 361 | 35.3#336 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 117.5#24 of 361 | 103.5#314 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | −6.2#298 of 361 | +7.5#44 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −9.0#293 of 361 | +11.5#39 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.