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App State (17-13 in 2025–26) hosts South Alabama (19-11 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
USA offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · APP defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
APP offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · USA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
USAAPP
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
USAAPPNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Chaze Harris's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen | 37.3 | 16.9 | 4.9 | 0.9 |
| Chaze Harris | 33.1 | 21.1 | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Jayden Cooper | 32.8 | 13.2 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune | 26.3 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| Randy Brady | 26.2 | 6.7 | 4.9 | 2.0 |
| John Broom | 18.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.3 |
| JJ Wheat | 15.6 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Stephen Williams | 14.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings | 35.0 | 16.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| Alonzo Dodd | 34.6 | 16.1 | 5.9 | 4.9 |
| Jalen Tot | 33.9 | 12.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Luke Wilson | 30.7 | 10.4 | 9.5 | 0.6 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. | 26.8 | 7.8 | 6.7 | 0.4 |
| Eren Banks | 24.1 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| Chad Moodie | 10.5 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
USA offenseper gameAPP defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
USAForAgainst45% of USA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
APPForAgainst45% of APP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
USA 5series5 APP| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | USA 57 | APP 65 | APP+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | APP 91 | USA 84 | APP+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | APP 61 | USA 68 | USA+7 | +7 |
| Feb 11, 2023 | APP 57 | USA 74 | USA+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | USA 51 | APP 69 | APP+18 | +18 |
| Jan 6, 2022 | APP 72 | USA 64 | APP+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2021 | USA 56 | APP 54 | USA+2 | +2 |
| Feb 19, 2021 | USA 65 | APP 63 | USA+2 | +2 |
| Jan 16, 2021 | APP 83 | USA 77 | APP+6 | +6 |
| Jan 15, 2021 | APP 64 | USA 73 | USA+9 | +9 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | USA19-11 · last 30 games | APP17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 74.4#125 of 361 | 70.8#297 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Possessions per game | 66.5#260 of 361 | 63.7#352 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | 0.0#78 of 361 | +5.4#148 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.