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Montana State (15-14 in 2025–26) hosts Northern Colorado (17-12 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
UNCO offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MTST defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
MTST offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNCO defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
UNCOMTST
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
UNCOMTSTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Quinn Denker's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Denker | 36.7 | 21.0 | 6.2 | 7.3 |
| Zach Bloch | 33.5 | 9.4 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| Brock Wisne | 31.9 | 16.1 | 6.7 | 2.9 |
| Ring Nyeri | 29.7 | 10.5 | 7.4 | 0.5 |
| Ibu Yamazaki | 26.5 | 9.5 | 3.3 | 0.5 |
| Vincent Delano | 18.7 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Egan Shields | 15.7 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| Ariik Mawien | 6.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Miller | 36.9 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 3.5 |
| Christian King | 30.3 | 12.8 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 29.7 | 12.5 | 4.7 | 1.8 |
| Davian Brown | 27.5 | 16.0 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| Jeremiah Davis | 26.5 | 11.2 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Seth Amunrud | 22.7 | 7.8 | 3.1 | 0.5 |
| Chris Hodges | 21.5 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| Jaden Steppe | 18.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
UNCO offenseper gameMTST defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
UNCOForAgainst46% of UNCO's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MTSTForAgainst46% of MTST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
UNCO 4series6 MTST| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | MTST 73 | UNCO 68 | MTST+5 | +5 |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UNCO 75 | MTST 89 | MTST+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | MTST 45 | UNCO 72 | UNCO+27 | +27 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MTST 66 | UNCO 73 | UNCO+7 | +7 |
| Jan 9, 2025 | UNCO 83 | MTST 82 | UNCO+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | MTST 70 | UNCO 73 | UNCO+3 | +3 |
| Jan 13, 2024 | UNCO 81 | MTST 90 | MTST+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | UNCO 73 | MTST 84 | MTST+11 | +11 |
| Feb 4, 2023 | UNCO 62 | MTST 75 | MTST+13 | +13 |
| Jan 5, 2023 | MTST 77 | UNCO 56 | MTST+21 | +21 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | UNCO17-13 · last 30 games | MTST15-15 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 70.3#60 of 361 | 67.2#226 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 2nd half points for | 43.9#26 of 361 | 39.7#167 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points against | 78.5#83 of 361 | 73.5#223 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 115.1#74 of 361 | 111.1#134 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.