Duke (32-2 in 2025–26) hosts California (20-11 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CAL offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · DUKE defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)
DUKE offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CAL defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Cameron Boozer's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden | 33.3 | 14.5 | 4.9 | 1.5 |
| Dai Dai Ames | 32.6 | 16.5 | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Justin Pippen | 31.7 | 13.9 | 4.3 | 4.9 |
| Chris Bell | 28.6 | 12.9 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Lee Dort | 22.6 | 8.1 | 9.1 | 0.5 |
| Milos Ilic | 21.5 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| DeJuan Campbell | 14.4 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Semetri Carr | 14.0 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer | 34.1 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 4.3 |
| Isaiah Evans | 28.3 | 15.5 | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| Dame Sarr | 26.5 | 6.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| Caleb Foster | 25.8 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
| Cayden Boozer | 23.4 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Maliq Brown | 21.7 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
| Patrick Ngongba II | 21.6 | 10.1 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
| Nikolas Khamenia | 20.3 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.7 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of CAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
52% of DUKE's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | DUKE+15 | +15 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | DUKE+21 | +21 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CAL19-11 · last 30 games | DUKE28-2 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.2#108 of 361 | 60.8#355 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Possessions per game | 69.0#125 of 361 | 65.5#296 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.8%#169 of 361 | 50.6%#2 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 111.7#120 of 361 | 122.8#6 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.