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Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) hosts Stanford (20-12 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
STAN offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · LOU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
LOU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · STAN defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
STANLOU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
STANLOUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ebuka Okorie's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie | 36.1 | 23.6 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
| Benny Gealer | 29.1 | 11.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Aidan Cammann | 24.3 | 7.7 | 4.0 | 1.7 |
| AJ Rohosy | 21.2 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 0.7 |
| Ryan Agarwal | 21.0 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith | 20.5 | 10.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Donavin Young | 16.5 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.8 |
| Jaylen Thompson | 15.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
STAN offenseper gameLOU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
STANForAgainst46% of STAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
LOUForAgainst48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
STAN 1series2 LOU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | LOU 76 | STAN 80 | STAN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2025 | STAN 73 | LOU 75 | LOU+2 | +2 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | STAN 48 | LOU 68 | LOU+20 | +20 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | STAN18-12 · last 30 games | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 66.6#253 of 361 | 69.5#94 of 361 | 68.0 |
| 1st half points for | 35.0#169 of 361 | 40.0#19 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.5%#119 of 361 | 45.8%#268 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +3.6#116 of 361 | +15.0#19 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.