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Nebraska (26-6 in 2025–26) hosts Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MSU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · NEB defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
NEB offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MSUNEB
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MSUNEBNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Pryce Sandfort's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort | 36.7 | 19.5 | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| Sam Hoiberg | 35.3 | 11.1 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| Jamarques Lawrence | 29.7 | 9.2 | 2.7 | 4.4 |
| Rienk Mast | 29.7 | 11.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel | 24.5 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 1.9 |
| Braden Frager | 24.0 | 10.6 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Cale Jacobsen | 21.0 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.3 |
| Jared Garcia | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
MSU offenseper gameNEB defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NEBForAgainst48% of NEB's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MSU 6series2 NEB| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | MSU 56 | NEB 58 | NEB+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | NEB 52 | MSU 89 | MSU+37 | +37 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | MSU 70 | NEB 77 | NEB+7 | +7 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | MSU 80 | NEB 67 | MSU+13 | +13 |
| Jan 3, 2023 | NEB 56 | MSU 74 | MSU+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | NEB 67 | MSU 79 | MSU+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | NEB 56 | MSU 66 | MSU+10 | +10 |
| Jan 2, 2021 | MSU 84 | NEB 77 | MSU+7 | +7 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | NEB24-6 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 37.0#80 of 361 | 35.1#163 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.4%#130 of 361 | 48.4%#56 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 119.1#29 of 361 | 114.2#85 of 361 | 109.2 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.