Southern Illinois vs Valparaiso — College Basketball, Jan 2, 2027

Valparaiso (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Southern Illinois (15-16 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.

Sat, Jan 2 · Time TBDAthletics-Recreation Center · Valparaiso, INConference game

Southern Illinois Salukis

2025–26: 15-16 · 8-8 on the road

Valparaiso Beacons

2025–26: 17-14 · 13-3 at home

Lines post the day of the game.

OverviewPropsStatsHead to head

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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What to knowiThree takeaways from the data below: the biggest mismatch, injuries or form, and the game setup.

Scoring margin

SIU +2.2 · VAL −0.5

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

SIU 7-3 · VAL 7-3

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

SIU 3d · VAL 3d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsiEach offense's league rank against the defense it faces in shooting, turnovers, rebounding and free throws; longer = better.◷History

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

SIU offensevsVAL defense

SIU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · VAL defense in 4 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

49.2%

#283

50.8%

Stronger#141

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.

14.8%

#203

14.6%

slight#170

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

30.9%

#166

30.0%

slight#159

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

21.3%

#308

24.9%

Stronger#156

VAL offensevsSIU defense

VAL offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · SIU defense in 4 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%?Field-goal percentage with threes counted at 1.5; the defense's number is what it allows.

48.3%

#303

49.0%

Stronger#69

Turnovers · per 100 plays?Turnovers the offense commits (fewer is better) and the turnovers the defense forces.

13.6%

#105

16.3%

slight#69

Offensive rebounding %?Share of its own misses the offense rebounds; the defense's number is what it allows.

32.3%

#114

27.3%

slight#49

Free throw rate?Free throws made per field-goal attempt; the defense's number is what it allows.

28.6%

#76

21.8%

slight#67

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesiHeadline ratings, then the biggest mismatches between one team's offense and the other's defense.◷History

SIUVAL

+3.2 124thNet rating?Points scored minus points allowed per 100 possessions190th −0.7

103.9 289thOffensive rating?Points scored per 100 possessions211th 107.7

100.7 24thDefensive rating?Points allowed per 100 possessions (rank 1 = allows least)140th 108.4

69.9 84thPace?Possessions per game (rank 1 = fastest)262nd 66.6

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

• 
  SIU 2-point shooting

  SIU offense 52.2% (161st) vs VAL defense allowing 52.4% (212th)
  +51 spots

ContextiEach team's last ten days going into this game (filled = home, outline = road; travel distance is not tracked)◷History

last 10 days

TFSSMTWTFGame

SIU

ASU

VAL

3 days rest3rd straight road game

TFSSMTWTFGame

VAL

BRAD

SIU

3 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

SIU · last 10

15-16 · 302 days rest

• Mar 5 vs DRKE2025–26L 63–67
• Mar 1 @ EVAN2025–26W 81–67
• Feb 25 vs INST2025–26W 66–55
• Feb 21 @ UNI2025–26W 59–57
• Feb 18 @ DRKE2025–26W 66–61
• Feb 15 vs BRAD2025–26L 60–70
• Feb 12 vs EVAN2025–26W 86–60
• Feb 9 @ INST2025–26W 80–65
• Feb 6 vs MUR2025–26L 81–91
• Feb 3 @ ILST2025–26W 54–50

7-3 in these

VAL · last 10

17-14 · 301 days rest

• Mar 6 @ BRAD2025–26L 84–90
• Mar 5 vs INST2025–26W 63–62
• Feb 28 @ EVAN2025–26L 79–80
• Feb 25 vs DRKE2025–26W 74–71
• Feb 21 @ UIC2025–26W 71–67
• Feb 18 vs BRAD2025–26W 79–72
• Feb 15 vs INST2025–26W 76–75
• Feb 12 @ ILST2025–26L 64–86
• Feb 9 @ DRKE2025–26W 81–76
• Feb 6 vs EVAN2025–26W 70–63

7-3 in these

From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.