Iowa State (27-7 in 2025–26) hosts Arizona (32-2 in 2025–26) on Jan 2, 2027.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ARIZ offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups · ISU defense in 1
ISU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ARIZ defense in 3 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Brayden Burries's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley | 33.1 | 12.7 | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| Brayden Burries | 31.3 | 18.2 | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov | 30.5 | 10.9 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Koa Peat | 27.3 | 12.1 | 4.5 | 2.8 |
| Motiejus Krivas | 25.9 | 9.4 | 7.7 | 0.9 |
| Tobe Awaka | 22.3 | 8.2 | 9.4 | 0.6 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso | 21.3 | 9.3 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Dwayne Aristode | 12.2 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamin Lipsey | 33.1 | 13.3 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Joshua Jefferson | 32.3 | 16.3 | 7.2 | 4.4 |
| Milan Momcilovic | 31.9 | 15.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Blake Buchanan | 23.8 | 7.8 | 5.2 | 1.3 |
| Nate Heise | 23.7 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| Killyan Toure | 21.6 | 5.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Jamarion Batemon | 17.7 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Dominykas Pleta | 13.3 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
48% of ARIZ's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
50% of ISU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | ARIZ+2 | +2 | ||
| Mar 2, 2026 | ARIZ+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | ISU+17 | +17 | ||
| Jan 27, 2025 | ARIZ+11 | +11 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ARIZ28-2 · last 30 games | ISU23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 70.7#46 of 361 | 66.9#235 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 75.9#218 of 361 | 64.1#339 of 361 | 74.8 |
| 2nd half points for | 44.4#16 of 361 | 40.7#124 of 361 | 39.5 |
The 3 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.