Fairfield vs Rider Odds, Stats & Props — Jan 1

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Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

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The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.

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What to know

Scoring margin

FAIR +1.0 · RID −14.1

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

FAIR 7-3 · RID 2-8

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

FAIR 2d · RID 2d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

FAIR offensevsRID defense

FAIR offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · RID defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

48.8%

#290slight

55.2%

#333

Turnovers · per 100 plays

12.9%

#49Stronger

13.2%

#274

Offensive rebounding %

35.8%

#32Stronger

32.8%

#296

Free throw rate

19.5%

#342

23.2%

Stronger#104

RID offensevsFAIR defense

RID offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · FAIR defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

42.8%

#361

51.0%

Stronger#158

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.3%

#161slight

14.7%

#163

Offensive rebounding %

32.6%

#99slight

29.1%

#116

Free throw rate

21.1%

#312

22.4%

Stronger#80

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

FAIRRID

+1.5 152ndNet rating353rd −21.7

109.3 176thOffensive rating350th 96.3

107.8 125thDefensive rating338th 118.0

66.7 252ndPace319th 65.1

Expected pace: about 66 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

FAIR offensive rebounding
FAIR offense 35.8% (32nd) vs RID defense allowing 32.8% (296th)
+264 spots
FAIR turnovers
FAIR offense 12.9% (49th) vs RID defense allowing 13.2% (274th)
+225 spots
FAIR 3-point shooting
FAIR offense 33.2% (214th) vs RID defense allowing 37.9% (352nd)
+138 spots
RID offensive rebounding
RID offense 32.6% (99th) vs FAIR defense allowing 29.1% (116th)
+17 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

FAIR

SIE

RID

2 days rest

RID

QUIN

FAIR

2 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

FAIR · last 10

20-13 · 298 days rest

Mar 8 @ SIE2025–26L 61–76
Mar 6 @ SPU2025–26W 74–55
Mar 5 vs MAN2025–26W 71–60
Mar 1 vs MSM2025–26L 47–69
Feb 27 vs SIE2025–26W 72–58
Feb 22 @ QUIN2025–26W 85–79
Feb 20 vs SHU2025–26W 78–68
Feb 15 @ SPU2025–26L 74–83
Feb 7 vs MRST2025–26W 63–60
Feb 5 @ SHU2025–26W 92–87

7-3 in these

RID · last 10

3-25 · 305 days rest

Mar 1 @ SIE2025–26L 61–76
Feb 27 @ IONA2025–26L 58–80
Feb 22 vs NIA2025–26W 67–62
Feb 20 vs CAN2025–26L 66–72
Feb 15 @ SHU2025–26L 75–86
Feb 13 vs MSM2025–26L 55–65
Feb 7 vs MRMK2025–26L 47–73
Feb 5 @ MRST2025–26L 52–81
Feb 1 vs SPU2025–26W 81–78
Jan 30 @ MAN2025–26L 90–95

2-8 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

Fairfield Stags

Rider Broncs

Flash Burton

RID vs FAIR

Player page →

Points No line yet

FAIR at RID

Full breakdown

Flash Burton's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

FAIR rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Braden Sparks	35.3	16.9	3.1	2.8
Declan Wucherpfennig	32.7	12.1	9.5	1.9
Brandon Benjamin	31.7	15.1	10.6	1.4
Tony Williams	24.7	7.5	1.4	1.9
Halon Rawlins	19.5	4.0	2.7	1.3
Eric Mejia	19.0	4.4	2.5	1.5
Deuce Turner	18.4	7.0	1.3	1.6
Isaac Munkadi	8.7	2.9	2.4	0.0

RID rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Flash Burton	33.3	17.3	3.1	3.5
Zion Cruz	32.9	15.1	2.9	1.7
Caleb Smith	32.8	7.5	7.5	1.5
Shemani Fuller	22.8	6.9	5.5	1.1
Davis Bynum	21.6	6.3	4.1	0.5
AB Coulibaly	12.5	2.5	1.3	0.5
Cole McCabe	10.1	1.6	1.5	0.4
Antwan Wilson	10.1	2.1	1.4	0.6

Team rankings (2025–26)History

FAIR offenseper gameRID defense

Effective FG%

290th48.8%

55.2%333rd

Turnover %

49th12.9%

13.2%274th

Offensive rebound %

32nd35.8%

32.8%296th

Free throw rate

342nd19.5%

23.2%104th

Points

223rd72.9

76.8237th

Field goal %

280th42.9%

47.6%315th

2-point %

301st48.2%

54.0%275th

3-point %

214th33.2%

37.9%352nd

Free throw %

252nd70.5%

71.4%113th

Rebounds

41st37.9

36.7292nd

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

FAIRForAgainst

1st half

33.4

33.2

2nd half

38.3

36.3

Game

71.6

69.5

47% of FAIR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

RIDForAgainst

1st half

30.2

37.6

2nd half

34.8

38.5

Game

64.9

76.1

46% of RID's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

FAIR 8series2 RID

Last 10FFFFFRRFFF

Avg total

137.6

combined points

Avg margin

FAIR 7.6

per meeting

Biggest win

FAIR +20

Feb 21, 2025

Last meeting

FAIR won

Jan 9, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026FAIR 1-0 RID

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 9, 2026	RID 62	FAIR 68	FAIR+6	+6

2025FAIR 1-0 RID

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 21, 2025	FAIR 69	RID 49	FAIR+20	+20

2024FAIR 2-0 RID

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 4, 2024	RID 75	FAIR 78	FAIR+3	+3
Feb 8, 2024	RID 67	FAIR 84	FAIR+17	+17

2023FAIR 1-2 RID

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 3, 2023	FAIR 88	RID 81	FAIR+7	+7
Feb 10, 2023	FAIR 57	RID 58	RID+1	+1
Jan 29, 2023	RID 78	FAIR 69	RID+9	+9

2022FAIR 2-0 RID

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Mar 3, 2022	RID 59	FAIR 65	FAIR+6	+6
Jan 28, 2022	FAIR 76	RID 65	FAIR+11	+11

2021FAIR 1-0 RID

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 2, 2021	RID 56	FAIR 72	FAIR+16	+16

Measure	FAIR19-11 · last 30 games	RID4-26 · last 30 games	League
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	78.3#60 of 361	63.4#358 of 361	74.3
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	−0.3#80 of 361	−8.3#353 of 361	−0.5
Margin per 100 possessions	+2.2#133 of 361	−21.0#354 of 361	−0.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	108.6#223 of 361	118.5#17 of 361	109.9

Measure	FAIR19-11 · last 30 games	RID4-26 · last 30 games	League
Points for (home at home, visitor on the road)	78.3#60 of 361	63.4#358 of 361	74.3
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	−0.3#80 of 361	−8.3#353 of 361	−0.5
Margin per 100 possessions	+2.2#133 of 361	−21.0#354 of 361	−0.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	108.6#223 of 361	118.5#17 of 361	109.9

Fairfield vs Rider — College Basketball, Jan 1, 2027

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What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory