Central Arkansas (18-11 in 2025–26) hosts Florida Gulf Coast (14-17 in 2025–26) on Dec 31, 2026, 2:00 PM ET.




Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
FGCU offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CARK defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
CARK offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · FGCU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Camren Hunter's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Konieczny | 33.6 | 15.5 | 7.5 | 2.7 |
| Rahmir Barno | 31.5 | 10.1 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Jordan Ellerbee | 29.6 | 12.9 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Michael Duax | 27.3 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| Isaiah Malone | 26.1 | 12.3 | 6.1 | 0.5 |
| Rory Stewart | 19.8 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 0.5 |
| Darren Williams | 17.3 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| Tristen Guillouette | 13.6 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Moore | 32.4 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 4.0 |
| Camren Hunter | 32.3 | 22.1 | 5.1 | 3.3 |
| Ty Robinson | 29.3 | 13.3 | 5.8 | 2.1 |
| Javion Guy-King | 23.2 | 9.5 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Malchiah Marable | 22.7 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| Cole McCormick | 22.5 | 10.7 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Truman Byrne | 16.9 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Harry Beauchamp | 15.7 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
47% of FGCU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
48% of CARK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | CARK+10 | +10 | ||
| Feb 21, 2026 | FGCU+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 1, 2026 | CARK+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | FGCU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024 | FGCU+23 | +23 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2023 | CARK+4 | +4 | ||
| Jan 2, 2023 | FGCU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2022 | FGCU+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | FGCU14-16 · last 30 games | CARK18-12 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.1%#246 of 361 | 49.1%#17 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −5.4#191 of 361 | +15.6#24 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 110.9#159 of 361 | 108.5#225 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +0.5#162 of 361 | +3.8#113 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.