UConn vs Butler Odds, Stats & Props — Dec 31

MarketMarket

Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.

Pro

Model's read

The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.

Start 7-day free trial See the record

What to know

Scoring margin

CONN +12.4 · BTLR +0.9

Points scored minus allowed a game, 2025–26. Each team's own average, not a forecast.

Form

CONN 7-3 · BTLR 3-7

Each team's record over its last ten games.

Rest

CONN 7d · BTLR 7d

Days off before this game, from the schedule.

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory

ranks betterranks worseStronger72+ places apartleague middleLonger bar = better rank of 361 (#1 = best)

CONN offensevsBTLR defense

CONN offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · BTLR defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

55.3%

#33Stronger

52.5%

#232

Turnovers · per 100 plays

14.4%

#166Stronger

13.2%

#284

Offensive rebounding %

35.7%

#33Stronger

30.5%

#178

Free throw rate

21.5%

#305

17.8%

Stronger#6

BTLR offensevsCONN defense

BTLR offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · CONN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)

Shooting · effective FG%

50.9%

#200

45.7%

Stronger#8

Turnovers · per 100 plays

13.7%

#112

15.8%

slight#94

Offensive rebounding %

34.3%

#62slight

28.7%

#94

Free throw rate

30.2%

#44Stronger

28.9%

#289

Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.

Key numbers and mismatchesHistory

CONNBTLR

+18.8 11thNet rating155th +1.3

117.7 49thOffensive rating110th 112.6

98.9 14thDefensive rating217th 111.3

65.8 289thPace74th 70.2

Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.

Where one side has the better of it

BTLR getting to the line
BTLR offense 30.2% (44th) vs CONN defense allowing 28.9% (289th)
+245 spots
CONN 2-point shooting
CONN offense 57.1% (32nd) vs BTLR defense allowing 53.8% (267th)
+235 spots
CONN effective shooting
CONN offense 55.3% (33rd) vs BTLR defense allowing 52.5% (232nd)
+199 spots
CONN scoring
CONN offense 77.5 (104th) vs BTLR defense allowing 78.2 (271st)
+167 spots
BTLR offensive rebounding
BTLR offense 34.3% (62nd) vs CONN defense allowing 28.7% (94th)
+32 spots

ContextHistory

last 10 days

CONN

GTWN

BTLR

7 days rest

BTLR

MARQ

CONN

7 days rest

homeroadday offthis gameFrom the schedule; travel distance is not tracked.

CONN · last 10

29-5 · 268 days rest

Apr 6 @ MICH2025–26L 63–69
Apr 4 vs ILL2025–26W 71–62
Mar 29 @ DUKE2025–26W 73–72
Mar 27 vs MSU2025–26W 67–63
Mar 22 vs UCLA2025–26W 73–57
Mar 20 vs FUR2025–26W 82–71
Mar 14 @ SJU2025–26L 52–72
Mar 13 vs GTWN2025–26W 67–51
Mar 12 vs XAV2025–26W 93–68
Mar 7 @ MARQ2025–26L 62–68

7-3 in these

BTLR · last 10

15-16 · 294 days rest

Mar 11 vs PROV2025–26L 81–91
Mar 7 @ DEP2025–26W 81–71
Mar 4 vs CREI2025–26L 59–76
Feb 25 @ VILL2025–26L 73–82
Feb 21 vs XAV2025–26W 80–75
Feb 18 @ GTWN2025–26W 93–89
Feb 15 vs HALL2025–26L 56–63
Feb 11 vs CONN2025–26L 70–80
Feb 7 @ MARQ2025–26L 55–70
Feb 4 @ PROV2025–26L 87–97

3-7 in these

Player props

No lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number

UConn Huskies

Butler Bulldogs

Finley Bizjack

BTLR vs CONN

Player page →

Points No line yet

CONN at BTLR

Full breakdown

Finley Bizjack's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…

the game-by-game chart
hit-rate splits and filters
the what-if line and market curve
every book and the line history

CONN rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Alex Karaban	34.1	11.5	5.2	2.7
Silas Demary Jr.	32.3	11.8	4.9	6.3
Solo Ball	29.1	12.8	2.9	1.8
Braylon Mullins	28.8	12.3	3.3	1.2
Tarris Reed Jr.	26.5	13.0	8.3	2.7
Jayden Ross	17.9	4.7	2.4	1.2
Eric Reibe	13.6	6.5	3.5	0.6
Jaylin Stewart	12.1	2.7	1.7	0.6

BTLR rotation · last 15 games

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Finley Bizjack	36.9	18.4	2.7	3.0
Michael Ajayi	35.3	16.4	10.1	3.2
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	31.1	9.6	3.6	0.7
Azavier Robinson	24.4	8.2	2.2	3.0
Yohan Traore	21.4	8.7	3.3	0.7
Evan Haywood	20.3	6.2	1.5	1.0
Drayton Jones	18.8	5.7	4.1	1.3
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	18.7	5.1	2.3	2.3

Team rankings (2025–26)History

CONN offenseper gameBTLR defense

Effective FG%

33rd55.3%

52.5%232nd

Turnover %

166th14.4%

13.2%284th

Offensive rebound %

33rd35.7%

30.5%178th

Free throw rate

305th21.5%

17.8%6th

Points

104th77.5

78.2271st

Field goal %

30th48.2%

46.2%263rd

2-point %

32nd57.1%

53.8%267th

3-point %

102nd35.2%

33.5%149th

Free throw %

218th71.6%

71.8%145th

Rebounds

82nd36.6

34.3153rd

Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.

Scoring by halfHistory

per game, last 17 games · the tick is the league's average team

CONNForAgainst

1st half

36.8

33.6

2nd half

35.8

33.4

Game

72.6

67.1

51% of CONN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

BTLRForAgainst

1st half

36.7

36.2

2nd half

37.7

43.6

Game

74.4

79.9

49% of BTLR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.

Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.

SeriesHistory

10 meetings

CONN 10series0 BTLR

Last 10CCCCCCCCCC

Avg total

142.3

combined points

Avg margin

CONN 13.9

per meeting

Biggest win

CONN +30

Jan 22, 2023

Last meeting

CONN won

Feb 11, 2026

Every meetingHistory

2026CONN 1-0 BTLR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Feb 11, 2026	CONN 80	BTLR 70	CONN+10	+10

2025CONN 2-0 BTLR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 16, 2025	BTLR 60	CONN 79	CONN+19	+19
Jan 21, 2025	BTLR 78	CONN 80	CONN+2	+2

2024CONN 3-0 BTLR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 21, 2024	CONN 78	BTLR 74	CONN+4	+4
Feb 6, 2024	BTLR 62	CONN 71	CONN+9	+9
Jan 5, 2024	CONN 88	BTLR 81	CONN+7	+7

2023CONN 1-0 BTLR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Jan 22, 2023	BTLR 56	CONN 86	CONN+30	+30

2022CONN 3-0 BTLR

Date	Road	Home	Winner	Margin
Dec 17, 2022	CONN 68	BTLR 46	CONN+22	+22
Jan 20, 2022	CONN 75	BTLR 56	CONN+19	+19
Jan 18, 2022	BTLR 59	CONN 76	CONN+17	+17

Measure	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	BTLR14-16 · last 30 games	League
2nd half points against	34.2#351 of 361	42.8#43 of 361	39.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	100.3#342 of 361	112.2#128 of 361	109.9
Possessions per game	65.3#306 of 361	69.6#93 of 361	68.0
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+5.8#20 of 361	+4.0#182 of 361	−0.5

Measure	CONN25-5 · last 30 games	BTLR14-16 · last 30 games	League
2nd half points against	34.2#351 of 361	42.8#43 of 361	39.7
Points allowed per 100 possessions	100.3#342 of 361	112.2#128 of 361	109.9
Possessions per game	65.3#306 of 361	69.6#93 of 361	68.0
Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road)	+5.8#20 of 361	+4.0#182 of 361	−0.5

UConn vs Butler — College Basketball, Dec 31, 2026

MarketMarket

Model's read

What to know

Offense vs defense: the four factorsHistory