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UNC Greensboro (13-18 in 2025–26) hosts The Citadel (8-22 in 2025–26) on Dec 30, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CIT offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UNCG defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
UNCG offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · CIT defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CITUNCG
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CITUNCGNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Justin Neely's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi | 35.6 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 1.6 |
| Braxton Williams | 33.5 | 16.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 30.1 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Christian Moore | 25.8 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Eze Wali | 25.7 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Logan Applegate | 17.6 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Marcos Gonzales | 12.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Dante Kearse | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely | 32.9 | 20.2 | 11.7 | 1.9 |
| KJ Younger | 29.5 | 17.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 |
| Valentino Pinedo | 28.7 | 7.1 | 5.4 | 1.4 |
| Noah Norgaard | 28.7 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Lilian Marville | 28.4 | 8.8 | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. | 22.6 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 2.3 |
| Clinton Efinda | 17.3 | 5.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Domas Kauzonas | 6.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
CIT offenseper gameUNCG defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CITForAgainst47% of CIT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCGForAgainst46% of UNCG's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CIT 2series8 UNCG| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCG 66 | CIT 71 | CIT+5 | +5 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CIT 66 | UNCG 69 | UNCG+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | UNCG 76 | CIT 61 | UNCG+15 | +15 |
| Jan 15, 2025 | CIT 57 | UNCG 70 | UNCG+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2024 | UNCG 76 | CIT 61 | UNCG+15 | +15 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | CIT 67 | UNCG 73 | UNCG+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | UNCG 79 | CIT 59 | UNCG+20 | +20 |
| Jan 19, 2023 | CIT 60 | UNCG 70 | UNCG+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | CIT 66 | UNCG 86 | UNCG+20 | +20 |
| Jan 13, 2022 | UNCG 69 | CIT 74 | CIT+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CIT8-22 · last 30 games | UNCG13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 47.9%#95 of 361 | 45.3%#304 of 361 | 46.9% |
| 2nd half points for | 35.9#320 of 361 | 40.7#124 of 361 | 39.5 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 104.4#280 of 361 | 112.0#116 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Possessions per game | 65.4#300 of 361 | 68.3#166 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.