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Mercer (16-13 in 2025–26) hosts East Tennessee State (21-11 in 2025–26) on Dec 30, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ETSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · MER defense in 1
MER offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · ETSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ETSUMER
Expected pace: about 68 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ETSUMERNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Baraka Okojie's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II | 34.2 | 14.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Blake Barkley | 30.1 | 14.9 | 6.6 | 1.3 |
| Cam Morris III | 26.1 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 1.5 |
| Jaylen Smith | 24.6 | 8.4 | 2.1 | 3.1 |
| Jordan McCullum | 24.2 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| Maki Johnson | 24.1 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 |
| Allen Strothers | 20.4 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Gabe Sisk | 11.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie | 36.4 | 21.3 | 2.7 | 4.9 |
| Armani Mighty | 32.8 | 13.6 | 11.9 | 1.0 |
| Brady Shoulders | 31.4 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 1.7 |
| Zaire Williams | 31.0 | 14.5 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| Quinton Perkins II | 23.1 | 7.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Connor Serven | 22.6 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 1.1 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 17.7 | 6.1 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Tristan Gross | 11.9 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
ETSU offenseper gameMER defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ETSUForAgainst46% of ETSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MERForAgainst48% of MER's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ETSU 6series4 MER| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | ETSU 76 | MER 82 | MER+6 | +6 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MER 71 | ETSU 77 | ETSU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | MER 58 | ETSU 59 | ETSU+1 | +1 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ETSU 70 | MER 68 | ETSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2024 | ETSU 54 | MER 49 | ETSU+5 | +5 |
| Jan 3, 2024 | MER 69 | ETSU 80 | ETSU+11 | +11 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | ETSU 67 | MER 71 | MER+4 | +4 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MER 68 | ETSU 55 | MER+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | ETSU 56 | MER 65 | MER+9 | +9 |
| Jan 19, 2022 | MER 64 | ETSU 72 | ETSU+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ETSU20-10 · last 30 games | MER16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half points against | 35.1#338 of 361 | 41.9#76 of 361 | 39.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.3#272 of 361 | 113.0#107 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.7%#191 of 361 | 48.5%#45 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 66.3#271 of 361 | 68.8#137 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.