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Virginia Tech (19-13 in 2025–26) hosts Louisville (23-10 in 2025–26) on Dec 30, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LOU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · VT defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
VT offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LOU defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LOUVT
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LOUVTNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Mikel Brown Jr.'s full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Conwell | 32.2 | 17.5 | 4.5 | 2.5 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. | 31.1 | 19.6 | 3.6 | 4.4 |
| J'Vonne Hadley | 28.3 | 13.3 | 4.9 | 1.4 |
| Isaac McKneely | 27.5 | 9.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Sananda Fru | 20.7 | 7.2 | 4.9 | 1.3 |
| Adrian Wooley | 20.4 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Khani Rooths | 15.5 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| Aly Khalifa | 11.3 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Hammond | 35.8 | 15.2 | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| Neoklis Avdalas | 30.9 | 9.5 | 2.8 | 4.1 |
| Tobi Lawal | 29.8 | 12.7 | 8.2 | 0.7 |
| Jailen Bedford | 28.9 | 13.4 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| Amani Hansberry | 28.9 | 12.4 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| Jaden Schutt | 22.6 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| Christian Gurdak | 16.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Tyler Johnson | 11.5 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
LOU offenseper gameVT defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LOUForAgainst48% of LOU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VTForAgainst47% of VT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LOU 3series4 VT| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | VT 71 | LOU 85 | LOU+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | LOU 71 | VT 66 | LOU+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024 | VT 80 | LOU 64 | VT+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2023 | LOU 68 | VT 75 | VT+7 | +7 |
| Feb 28, 2023 | VT 71 | LOU 54 | VT+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | LOU 43 | VT 75 | VT+32 | +32 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2021 | VT 71 | LOU 73 | LOU+2 | +2 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LOU20-10 · last 30 games | VT17-13 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 48.2%#60 of 361 | 45.9%#264 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Points against (home at home, visitor on the road) | 80.5#96 of 361 | 70.4#224 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +15.0#19 of 361 | +4.3#103 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 104.5#299 of 361 | 108.8#219 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.