Loading the game…
⌘K
UMBC (22-8 in 2025–26) hosts Coppin State (6-24 in 2025–26) on Dec 29, 2026, 6:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
COPP offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · UMBC defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
UMBC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · COPP defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
COPPUMBC
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
COPPUMBCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Ace Valentine's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hussain Williams | 23.5 | 9.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| Hassan Perkins | 23.3 | 6.9 | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Demariontay Hall | 21.8 | 12.7 | 5.0 | 0.2 |
| Khali Horton | 21.5 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| Camaren Sparrow | 21.4 | 7.8 | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Torrin Andrews | 19.7 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Jamari Piercy | 19.3 | 6.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Nelson Lamizana | 19.0 | 6.0 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Valentine | 33.1 | 13.3 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| DJ Armstrong Jr. | 31.6 | 13.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| Jah'Likai King | 31.0 | 12.5 | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Jose Roberto Tanchyn | 24.3 | 8.1 | 8.6 | 0.9 |
| Josh Odunowo | 23.4 | 10.3 | 5.3 | 1.0 |
| Caden Diggs | 21.8 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| Riley Jacobs | 12.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 0.3 |
| Cougar Downing | 11.5 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
COPP offenseper gameUMBC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
COPPForAgainst45% of COPP's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UMBCForAgainst48% of UMBC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
COPP 1series4 UMBC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | UMBC 93 | COPP 59 | UMBC+34 | +34 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | COPP 67 | UMBC 92 | UMBC+25 | +25 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | UMBC 70 | COPP 89 | COPP+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2022 | COPP 82 | UMBC 109 | UMBC+27 | +27 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2020 | UMBC 66 | COPP 49 | UMBC+17 | +17 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | COPP6-24 · last 30 games | UMBC22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin per 100 possessions | −24.4#358 of 361 | +11.2#40 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −16.7#358 of 361 | +7.5#45 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 118.2#19 of 361 | 102.4#328 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 1st half points against | 39.0#28 of 361 | 31.6#328 of 361 | 35.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.