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Baylor (15-16 in 2025–26) hosts Mississippi Valley State (2-30 in 2025–26) on Dec 29, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
MVSU offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · BAY defense in 4 (3 by a clear margin)
BAY offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · MVSU defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
MVSUBAY
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
MVSUBAYNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Michael James's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael James | 38.3 | 23.1 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| Xzayvion Childress | 30.6 | 8.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Daniel Mayfield | 30.5 | 13.9 | 6.0 | 1.2 |
| Patrick Punch | 30.3 | 7.8 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| X'Zaevion Barnett | 29.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| Mussa Mzein | 19.1 | 3.9 | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Tyrone Iroghama | 11.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 |
| Samuel Murray | 11.2 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Carr | 35.5 | 17.6 | 6.0 | 3.2 |
| Tounde Yessoufou | 34.8 | 17.7 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| Obi Agbim | 34.0 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| Isaac Williams IV | 27.8 | 11.5 | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Caden Powell | 25.3 | 7.5 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 24.1 | 8.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Michael Rataj | 19.1 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| James Nnaji | 6.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.1 |
MVSU offenseper gameBAY defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
MVSUForAgainst46% of MVSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
BAYForAgainst50% of BAY's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
MVSU 0series2 BAY| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | MVSU 48 | BAY 107 | BAY+59 | +59 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | MVSU 53 | BAY 117 | BAY+64 | +64 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | MVSU2-28 · last 30 games | BAY14-16 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 62.5#345 of 361 | 87.7#20 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 92.7#360 of 361 | 117.6#47 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −22.5#360 of 361 | +10.3#73 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −27.0#359 of 361 | +4.6#100 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.