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Miami (25-8 in 2025–26) hosts NC State (20-13 in 2025–26) on Dec 29, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NCSU offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MIA defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
MIA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NCSU defense in 1
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NCSUMIA
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NCSUMIANo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Malik Reneau's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quadir Copeland | 31.4 | 14.1 | 3.7 | 7.3 |
| Paul McNeil Jr. | 30.6 | 13.9 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| Darrion Williams | 30.5 | 13.3 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
| Ven-Allen Lubin | 30.0 | 15.3 | 7.7 | 0.6 |
| Tre Holloman | 26.7 | 8.5 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Matt Able | 23.5 | 9.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Terrance Arceneaux | 17.0 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.4 |
| Musa Sagnia | 9.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0.0 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Donaldson | 35.4 | 16.7 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Shelton Henderson | 34.2 | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.9 |
| Ernest Udeh Jr. | 31.3 | 7.1 | 8.1 | 0.7 |
| Malik Reneau | 30.8 | 17.7 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| Dante Allen | 26.3 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Tru Washington | 25.0 | 11.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| Timotej Malovec | 12.8 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Noam Dovrat | 8.2 | 4.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
NCSU offenseper gameMIA defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NCSUForAgainst46% of NCSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MIAForAgainst48% of MIA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NCSU 2series5 MIA| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | MIA 77 | NCSU 76 | MIA+1 | +1 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | NCSU 70 | MIA 72 | MIA+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024 | MIA 68 | NCSU 74 | NCSU+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | MIA 81 | NCSU 83 | NCSU+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | NCSU 73 | MIA 80 | MIA+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | NCSU 83 | MIA 91 | MIA+8 | +8 |
| Jan 9, 2021 | MIA 64 | NCSU 59 | MIA+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NCSU17-13 · last 30 games | MIA22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Share of points allowed in the 1st half | 45.0%#327 of 361 | 49.3%#21 of 361 | 46.9% |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 111.9#139 of 361 | 105.6#286 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 46.4%#220 of 361 | 48.0%#78 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Possessions per game | 69.2#104 of 361 | 68.1#181 of 361 | 68.0 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.