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Northwestern (15-19 in 2025–26) hosts Chicago State (5-24 in 2025–26) on Dec 29, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CHST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups · NU defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
NU offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · CHST defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CHSTNU
Expected pace: about 65 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CHSTNUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Nick Martinelli's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Ray | 34.1 | 15.9 | 5.1 | 2.3 |
| Marcus Tankersley | 30.8 | 12.9 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| Braelon Bush | 27.1 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 3.9 |
| Doyel Cockrill III | 26.0 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Stephen Byard | 21.4 | 11.2 | 5.6 | 0.7 |
| Corey Sands | 18.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Malek Robinson | 15.5 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Dailliss Cox | 15.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli | 37.1 | 22.3 | 5.5 | 2.3 |
| Jake West | 31.6 | 8.1 | 1.1 | 4.0 |
| Tre Singleton | 26.4 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 1.4 |
| Jayden Reid | 25.3 | 8.4 | 0.9 | 4.5 |
| Angelo Ciaravino | 22.3 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| Arrinten Page | 19.0 | 6.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Jordan Clayton | 18.2 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Max Green | 17.0 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
CHST offenseper gameNU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CHSTForAgainst47% of CHST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
NUForAgainst47% of NU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CHST 1series2 NU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | CHST 75 | NU 73 | CHST+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022 | CHST 54 | NU 85 | NU+31 | +31 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2020 | CHST 66 | NU 111 | NU+45 | +45 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CHST5-25 · last 30 games | NU11-19 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 99.3#338 of 361 | 110.9#139 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Scoring margin | −11.6#347 of 361 | −1.9#216 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −17.8#348 of 361 | −2.9#219 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 64.7#322 of 361 | 76.0#194 of 361 | 74.3 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.