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Evansville (5-25 in 2025–26) hosts Illinois State (19-12 in 2025–26) on Dec 29, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
ILST offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · EVAN defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
EVAN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · ILST defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
ILSTEVAN
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
ILSTEVANNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
AJ Casey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger | 32.1 | 10.5 | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| Boden Skunberg | 27.5 | 10.6 | 4.3 | 1.4 |
| Landon Wolf | 26.4 | 8.9 | 4.9 | 0.8 |
| Ty Pence | 22.4 | 7.1 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
| Chase Walker | 21.3 | 13.7 | 4.7 | 1.7 |
| Ty'Reek Coleman | 21.0 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
| Mason Klabo | 17.7 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| Landon Moore | 16.5 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller | 37.3 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| AJ Casey | 33.7 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Bryce Quinet | 30.8 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Joshua Hughes | 30.5 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Alex Hemenway | 29.9 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Trent Hundley | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 14.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 12.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
ILST offenseper gameEVAN defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
ILSTForAgainst48% of ILST's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
EVANForAgainst46% of EVAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
ILST 5series5 EVAN| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | ILST 80 | EVAN 88 | EVAN+8 | +8 |
| Jan 1, 2026 | EVAN 47 | ILST 73 | ILST+26 | +26 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | EVAN 53 | ILST 62 | ILST+9 | +9 |
| Jan 8, 2025 | ILST 51 | EVAN 69 | EVAN+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | EVAN 59 | ILST 53 | EVAN+6 | +6 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EVAN 79 | ILST 86 | ILST+7 | +7 |
| Jan 27, 2024 | ILST 54 | EVAN 58 | EVAN+4 | +4 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | EVAN 53 | ILST 72 | ILST+19 | +19 |
| Jan 7, 2023 | ILST 69 | EVAN 61 | ILST+8 | +8 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | ILST 53 | EVAN 56 | EVAN+3 | +3 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | ILST19-11 · last 30 games | EVAN5-25 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin | +5.8#58 of 361 | −12.5#350 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | +8.6#58 of 361 | −18.6#350 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 102.8#324 of 361 | 116.3#36 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Points against | 69.0#316 of 361 | 78.3#88 of 361 | 74.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.