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Sacramento State (7-21 in 2025–26) hosts Pacific (16-15 in 2025–26) on Dec 22, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PAC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · SAC defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
SAC offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PAC defense in 2 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PACSAC
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PACSACNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Prophet Johnson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph | 34.3 | 15.8 | 6.7 | 1.9 |
| TJ Wainwright | 33.3 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| Jaden Clayton | 31.6 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 6.9 |
| Justin Rochelin | 30.1 | 10.5 | 7.0 | 1.2 |
| Isaac Jack | 21.5 | 9.1 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Jaion Pitt | 18.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 0.2 |
| Kajus Kublickas | 16.7 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 |
| KC Ibekwe | 10.1 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prophet Johnson | 37.2 | 20.6 | 6.6 | 3.9 |
| Mikey Williams | 35.8 | 15.3 | 3.3 | 4.2 |
| Mark Lavrenov | 31.1 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 0.7 |
| Arman Madi | 29.9 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Jahni Summers | 29.3 | 11.2 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Shaqir O'Neal | 21.0 | 6.3 | 3.8 | 0.6 |
| Taj Glover | 15.3 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Romari Robinson | 14.5 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
PAC offenseper gameSAC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PACForAgainst48% of PAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
SACForAgainst46% of SAC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PAC 1series0 SAC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | SAC 54 | PAC 68 | PAC+14 | +14 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PAC16-14 · last 30 games | SAC7-23 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 69.6#308 of 361 | 82.8#15 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Possessions per game | 65.4#301 of 361 | 71.3#27 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 106.4#271 of 361 | 116.1#41 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Scoring margin | +1.6#130 of 361 | −7.7#317 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.