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Memphis (13-19 in 2025–26) hosts Little Rock (7-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 22, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LR offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MEM defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
MEM offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · LR defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LRMEM
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LRMEMNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Johnathan Lawson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 38.1 | 16.2 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Braxton Bayless | 35.1 | 11.4 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 32.3 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Cameron Wallace | 30.4 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 2.2 |
| Kachi Nzeh | 30.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 1.4 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 20.1 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Joseph Thomas | 10.2 | 2.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 8.0 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel | 34.4 | 13.9 | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Curtis Givens III | 28.5 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Julius Thedford | 22.5 | 8.9 | 4.8 | 0.7 |
| Zach Davis | 22.0 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| Sincere Parker | 21.2 | 13.3 | 4.4 | 1.1 |
| Quante Berry | 20.2 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| Aaron Bradshaw | 19.9 | 9.1 | 5.0 | 0.6 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 16.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
LR offenseper gameMEM defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LRForAgainst44% of LR's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MEMForAgainst45% of MEM's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LR 0series1 MEM| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | LR 71 | MEM 87 | MEM+16 | +16 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LR9-21 · last 30 games | MEM12-18 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 66.4#264 of 361 | 71.2#32 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −11.4#306 of 361 | +6.7#125 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points for (home at home, visitor on the road) | 63.9#331 of 361 | 77.6#159 of 361 | 74.3 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 111.8#144 of 361 | 107.7#244 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Feb 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.