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Villanova (23-8 in 2025–26) hosts Providence (15-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 22, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
PROV offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · VILL defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
VILL offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · PROV defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
PROVVILL
Expected pace: about 70 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
PROVVILLNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Jaylin Sellers's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefan Vaaks | 33.0 | 17.3 | 2.3 | 3.2 |
| Jaylin Sellers | 32.7 | 22.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| Ryan Mela | 30.5 | 11.8 | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| Jamier Jones | 30.3 | 11.7 | 5.1 | 1.3 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse | 27.7 | 6.1 | 9.5 | 0.9 |
| Jason Edwards | 24.4 | 14.9 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. | 22.4 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Duncan Powell | 14.6 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duke Brennan | 33.1 | 12.3 | 9.9 | 2.3 |
| Tyler Perkins | 32.6 | 16.2 | 6.0 | 1.5 |
| Acaden Lewis | 31.0 | 11.9 | 2.6 | 5.1 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 26.7 | 8.2 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Matt Hodge | 25.3 | 7.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Devin Askew | 24.0 | 10.9 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Malachi Palmer | 22.7 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| Chris Jeffrey | 7.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
PROV offenseper gameVILL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
PROVForAgainst45% of PROV's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VILLForAgainst48% of VILL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
PROV 3series7 VILL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | PROV 73 | VILL 87 | VILL+14 | +14 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | VILL 88 | PROV 82 | VILL+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2025 | VILL 62 | PROV 75 | PROV+13 | +13 |
| Jan 17, 2025 | PROV 73 | VILL 75 | VILL+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | VILL 71 | PROV 60 | VILL+11 | +11 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PROV 50 | VILL 68 | VILL+18 | +18 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | VILL 72 | PROV 85 | PROV+13 | +13 |
| Jan 29, 2023 | PROV 70 | VILL 65 | PROV+5 | +5 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | PROV 74 | VILL 76 | VILL+2 | +2 |
| Feb 15, 2022 | VILL 89 | PROV 84 | VILL+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | PROV13-17 · last 30 games | VILL23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 83.5#11 of 361 | 70.7#288 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Possessions per game | 72.6#13 of 361 | 66.5#255 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 115.0#60 of 361 | 106.2#275 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 44.7%#335 of 361 | 47.2%#132 of 361 | 46.8% |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.