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Valparaiso (17-14 in 2025–26) hosts Evansville (5-25 in 2025–26) on Dec 22, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
EVAN offense ranks better in 0 of 4 matchups · VAL defense in 4 (4 by a clear margin)
VAL offense ranks better in 4 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · EVAN defense in 0
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
EVANVAL
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
EVANVALNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
AJ Casey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller | 37.3 | 14.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| AJ Casey | 33.7 | 16.7 | 6.4 | 2.8 |
| Bryce Quinet | 30.8 | 9.7 | 1.6 | 2.7 |
| Joshua Hughes | 30.5 | 9.6 | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| Alex Hemenway | 29.9 | 7.2 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Trent Hundley | 19.3 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 14.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 0.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 12.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Dease | 31.0 | 11.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
| Rakim Chaney | 29.7 | 10.3 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| JT Pettigrew | 29.5 | 13.5 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| Brody Whitaker | 28.6 | 10.7 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| Shon Tupuola | 24.7 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Justus McNair | 22.1 | 9.5 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Carter Hopoi | 13.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| Sader Servilus | 12.9 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 0.8 |
EVAN offenseper gameVAL defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
EVANForAgainst46% of EVAN's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
VALForAgainst47% of VAL's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
EVAN 5series5 VAL| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | VAL 79 | EVAN 80 | EVAN+1 | +1 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | EVAN 63 | VAL 70 | VAL+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | VAL 69 | EVAN 79 | EVAN+10 | +10 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | EVAN 78 | VAL 68 | EVAN+10 | +10 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2024 | EVAN 63 | VAL 62 | EVAN+1 | +1 |
| Jan 17, 2024 | VAL 75 | EVAN 78 | EVAN+3 | +3 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | EVAN 69 | VAL 81 | VAL+12 | +12 |
| Jan 14, 2023 | VAL 76 | EVAN 69 | VAL+7 | +7 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2022 | EVAN 59 | VAL 81 | VAL+22 | +22 |
| Feb 21, 2022 | EVAN 69 | VAL 74 | VAL+5 | +5 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | EVAN5-25 · last 30 games | VAL16-14 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −16.5#343 of 361 | +6.4#128 of 361 | −0.5 |
| 1st half points against | 37.0#77 of 361 | 32.7#285 of 361 | 35.0 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.3#36 of 361 | 109.0#214 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −18.6#350 of 361 | −0.9#185 of 361 | −0.7 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.