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Michigan State (25-7 in 2025–26) hosts Oakland (15-16 in 2025–26) on Dec 22, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
OAK offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · MSU defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
MSU offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · OAK defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
OAKMSU
Expected pace: about 69 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
OAKMSUNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Brody Robinson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson | 37.5 | 19.8 | 3.0 | 7.2 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua | 32.3 | 14.6 | 6.5 | 2.1 |
| Brett White II | 29.3 | 10.1 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| Ziare Wells | 28.1 | 9.4 | 4.1 | 1.7 |
| Michael Houge | 27.1 | 11.8 | 5.4 | 1.0 |
| Isaac Garrett | 26.0 | 11.0 | 6.9 | 1.8 |
| Warren Marshall IV | 14.3 | 4.1 | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| Khoi Thurmon | 11.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 33.7 | 18.9 | 1.9 | 9.6 |
| Coen Carr | 30.2 | 11.9 | 5.7 | 1.1 |
| Carson Cooper | 28.1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 1.3 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 27.3 | 10.7 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| Jordan Scott | 25.2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Kur Teng | 18.9 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 18.7 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Cam Ward | 15.9 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.3 |
OAK offenseper gameMSU defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
OAKForAgainst48% of OAK's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
MSUForAgainst43% of MSU's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
OAK 0series6 MSU| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | OAK 70 | MSU 79 | MSU+9 | +9 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2024 | MSU 77 | OAK 58 | MSU+19 | +19 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023 | OAK 62 | MSU 79 | MSU+17 | +17 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | OAK 54 | MSU 67 | MSU+13 | +13 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2021 | MSU 90 | OAK 78 | MSU+12 | +12 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2020 | OAK 91 | MSU 109 | MSU+18 | +18 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | OAK15-15 · last 30 games | MSU23-7 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points against | 81.5#26 of 361 | 68.5#321 of 361 | 74.8 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 116.1#40 of 361 | 102.9#323 of 361 | 109.9 |
| Possessions per game | 70.2#66 of 361 | 66.5#259 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Scoring margin | +0.2#165 of 361 | +10.8#14 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.