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Richmond (14-17 in 2025–26) hosts Lafayette (10-21 in 2025–26) on Dec 21, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
LAF offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups · RICH defense in 3 (2 by a clear margin)
RICH offense ranks better in 2 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · LAF defense in 2 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
LAFRICH
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
LAFRICHNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Caleb Williams's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler | 34.8 | 11.3 | 2.2 | 4.5 |
| Andrew Phillips | 34.1 | 13.6 | 4.7 | 1.6 |
| Caleb Williams | 32.9 | 16.0 | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert | 30.0 | 7.1 | 7.3 | 0.6 |
| Shareef Jackson | 22.9 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| Ryan Pettit | 20.9 | 6.3 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| Misha Bednostin | 13.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| KaiMani Murdock | 11.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnston | 30.7 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| AJ Lopez | 30.6 | 14.6 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Aiden Argabright | 25.9 | 11.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Mike Walz | 22.8 | 8.5 | 5.9 | 2.1 |
| Collin Tanner | 20.4 | 5.4 | 3.5 | 0.8 |
| Mikkel Tyne | 18.1 | 5.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Will Harper III | 15.2 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 13.9 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
LAF offenseper gameRICH defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
LAFForAgainst46% of LAF's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
RICHForAgainst47% of RICH's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
LAF 0series1 RICH| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | LAF 38 | RICH 59 | RICH+21 | +21 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | LAF10-20 · last 30 games | RICH13-17 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half points for | 31.8#299 of 361 | 36.3#101 of 361 | 34.8 |
| Points scored per 100 possessions | 103.7#295 of 361 | 112.2#110 of 361 | 109.2 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −9.3#296 of 361 | +2.3#131 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Scoring margin | −6.2#295 of 361 | +1.5#131 of 361 | −0.5 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.