Loading the game…
⌘K
North Carolina (24-8 in 2025–26) hosts The Citadel (8-22 in 2025–26) on Dec 21, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
CIT offense ranks better in 1 of 4 matchups (1 by a clear margin) · UNC defense in 3 (3 by a clear margin)
UNC offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (3 by a clear margin) · CIT defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
CITUNC
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
CITUNCNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Caleb Wilson's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sola Adebisi | 35.6 | 12.3 | 5.6 | 1.6 |
| Braxton Williams | 33.5 | 16.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Carter Kingsbury | 30.1 | 6.9 | 4.2 | 2.2 |
| Christian Moore | 25.8 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| Eze Wali | 25.7 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| Logan Applegate | 17.6 | 7.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| Marcos Gonzales | 12.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Dante Kearse | 10.1 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Wilson | 32.3 | 19.7 | 5.9 | 2.7 |
| Seth Trimble | 31.7 | 13.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Henri Veesaar | 31.2 | 15.8 | 8.2 | 1.9 |
| Derek Dixon | 27.9 | 8.3 | 2.4 | 3.3 |
| Jarin Stevenson | 26.7 | 9.3 | 5.1 | 0.9 |
| Luka Bogavac | 24.0 | 10.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
| Jonathan Powell | 15.5 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| Zayden High | 12.6 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
CIT offenseper gameUNC defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
CITForAgainst47% of CIT's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UNCForAgainst49% of UNC's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
CIT 0series1 UNC| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | CIT 67 | UNC 100 | UNC+33 | +33 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | CIT8-22 · last 30 games | UNC22-8 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −14.4#329 of 361 | +15.9#22 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Margin per 100 possessions | −16.2#346 of 361 | +10.7#44 of 361 | −0.7 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 120.6#10 of 361 | 105.8#282 of 361 | 109.9 |
| 1st half points for | 32.4#282 of 361 | 38.4#45 of 361 | 34.8 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Nov 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.