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Incarnate Word (8-19 in 2025–26) hosts LSU New Orleans (15-18 in 2025–26) on Dec 21, 2026.
Lines post the day of the game.
Lines post the morning of the game and are updated through the day.
The model's winner call: locked before the start, graded in public, built on the market's price.
NOLA offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · UIW defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
UIW offense ranks better in 3 of 4 matchups (2 by a clear margin) · NOLA defense in 1 (1 by a clear margin)
Season box-score numbers; ranks of 361 teams. A defense ranks well for allowing less and forcing more turnovers.
NOLAUIW
Expected pace: about 67 possessions a team (the two teams' average). Rank among 361 teams, 1st = best.
NOLAUIWNo lines posted yet: research the rotation against any number
Davion Bailey's full breakdown holds the game-by-game chart, hit-rate splits and filters, the what-if line and market curve, every book and the line history, closing lines, the projected range, teammates and matchup tools. Checking your player views…
Checking your player views…| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coleton Benson | 35.7 | 16.6 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Jakevion Buckley | 35.1 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 6.2 |
| MJ Thomas | 27.7 | 10.8 | 7.9 | 1.4 |
| TJ Cope | 24.7 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| Churchill Abass | 23.2 | 10.5 | 6.3 | 0.5 |
| Kedrick Osby | 19.8 | 5.6 | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Enzo Boudouma | 19.2 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 1.0 |
| Panagiotis Pagonis | 12.7 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| Player | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Bailey | 36.3 | 16.9 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| Tahj Staveskie | 34.9 | 16.4 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
| Harold Woods | 29.9 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Jordan Pyke | 23.0 | 12.1 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
| Love Bettis | 22.5 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Marcus Glover | 16.3 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| Lewis Rowe | 14.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Esteban Mann | 12.5 | 1.6 | 4.1 | 0.1 |
NOLA offenseper gameUIW defenseRank among 361 teams, 1st = best; a longer bar is a better rank. A defense ranks well for allowing less: lower shooting percentages, fewer points and rebounds, more turnovers forced.
NOLAForAgainst47% of NOLA's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
UIWForAgainst44% of UIW's points come in the first half, 47% for the average team.
Average points per game in each period, from box scores, over a team's last 17 games; overtime is pooled into the second half and the game. History, not a forecast: a team that leads late plays differently than one that trails, and a small window swings.
NOLA 5series5 UIW| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2026 | NOLA 78 | UIW 64 | NOLA+14 | +14 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2025 | UIW 83 | NOLA 84 | NOLA+1 | +1 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | NOLA 65 | UIW 75 | UIW+10 | +10 |
| Jan 27, 2025 | UIW 74 | NOLA 58 | UIW+16 | +16 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | NOLA 87 | UIW 80 | NOLA+7 | +7 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UIW 82 | NOLA 80 | UIW+2 | +2 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | UIW 78 | NOLA 70 | UIW+8 | +8 |
| Jan 12, 2023 | NOLA 85 | UIW 79 | NOLA+6 | +6 |
| Date | Road | Home | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | UIW 57 | NOLA 84 | NOLA+27 | +27 |
| Feb 5, 2022 | NOLA 70 | UIW 78 | UIW+8 | +8 |
From box scores. Ratings are per 100 possessions (possessions estimated from box scores). Prop lines from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars; hit rates are past games against a number, not a forecast or a pick. For information only, not betting advice. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.
| Measure | NOLA13-17 · last 30 games | UIW9-21 · last 30 games | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possessions per game | 69.2#106 of 361 | 64.6#328 of 361 | 68.0 |
| Share of points scored in the 1st half | 47.0%#156 of 361 | 44.2%#348 of 361 | 46.8% |
| Scoring margin (home at home, visitor on the road) | −4.9#182 of 361 | −0.4#277 of 361 | −0.5 |
| Points allowed per 100 possessions | 112.4#125 of 361 | 115.1#55 of 361 | 109.9 |
The 4 measures where these two sit furthest apart among the league's 361 ranked teams, over each team's last 30 regular-season games (Mar 2025 – Mar 2026). Rank 1 = highest in the league, even for points allowed. A rank says where a number sits, not which side it points to.